MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d4885d1cd0e2deaf7c77746806ffe22b49731efebe6cee621f7615ba73da0d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Cleveland Guardians, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $792,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $868,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $792,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 81,967$26,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,939.47 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 76,403$41,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,145.41 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 56,604$30,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,037.73 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 52,012$23,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,325.73 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 51,809$24,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,267.18 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 45,290$24,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,168.72 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 43,530$20,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,577.56 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 35,370$17,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000.98 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 32,496$12,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,488.37 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 28,166$15,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,967.86 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 23,341$9,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,637.03 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 78c | 18,267$14,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,943.74 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff6…3f44backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 17,188$7,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,906.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf953…156cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 16,438$8,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,725.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 11,041$6,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,339.97 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 8,339$4,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,629.48 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 8,294$4,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,732.16 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 8,180$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 7,846$3,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,687.62 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…6754backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 7,217$3,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,387.83 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 6,042$3,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.67 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.84 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 4,717$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186.45 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 4,624$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 4,486$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.55 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 4,163$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.89 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 69c | 4,023$2,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.99 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 3,830$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.1 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 3,686$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.41 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 3,605$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.35 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 3,294$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.49 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 3,109$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.99 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 2,914$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.52 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 2,830$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.89 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 2,817$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.16 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 31c | 2,811$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.05 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bc…f729backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 2,764$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.04 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6319…d371backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 2,050$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…f6d4backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 2,014$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 369 | 32.8%121 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 1,845$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.19 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 1,483$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.34 | 300 | 40.7%122 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 1,473$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.35 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 1,252$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.83 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 1,251$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.28 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 1,099$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.59 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 976.46$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.55 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 938.67$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.01 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…0de6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 899.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.47 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 875$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 863.89$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.55 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 32c | 855.48$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.26 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Cleveland Guardians | 31c | 846.94$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.67 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…4ef3backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 838.22$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.58 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 833.33$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.33 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 791$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.86 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 789.82$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.63 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 784.59$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.76 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 737.62$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.68 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 725$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.25 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 722.77$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.05 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 705.45$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.57 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 694.48$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.65 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 694.44$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.44 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 676.73$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.47 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e2…9c15backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 664.5$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 659.99$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 655.75$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.42 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 600$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 597.76$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.45 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 597.43$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.79 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…6486backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 571.96$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 543.1$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.23 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 26c | 512.03$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 502.47$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.16 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 470.49$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.49 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 75c | 453.81$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.48 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 450.75$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.38 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…0350backed Tampa Bay Rays | 79c | 448.72$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…f2c9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.