TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,220,844
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,214,525

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,220,844 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 3,934 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7225…659abacked No64c1,546,907$983,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563,378.072846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes36c1,000,001$364,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364,174.679142.9%39 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No73c833,529$609,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224,253.2874752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked No61c689,437$422,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266,597.7115249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes37c434,447$159,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159,207.582,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Yes39c284,289$110,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110,872.877346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Yes39c259,244$101,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,104.9720844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No61c242,555$147,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94,675.312,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked No63c212,679$133,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,691.1615456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes35c206,105$73,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,125.882,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes38c195,092$73,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,930.042,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No63c190,843$119,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,963.0933538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes35c171,110$59,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,799.6342345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes34c164,451$55,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,280.264,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes33c162,142$53,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,424.728,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed No64c156,500$100,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,3409747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Yes36c133,000$48,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,239.9717550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x594d…059dbacked Yes39c124,677$48,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,623.941560%9 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes37c110,000$40,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,70022348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Yes37c100,986$37,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,364.8215337.3%57 W · 96 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked No64c100,000$64,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,0008932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed No37c100,000$37,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,999.9717840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No62c90,376$55,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,697.3215844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No64c77,643$49,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,136.1356541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No60c74,695$45,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,534.0329952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No60c58,074$35,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,046.41,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes22c56,367$12,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,151.653,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Yes36c55,200$19,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,8729247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes46c52,453$24,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,020.0979231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No63c49,999$31,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,499.79948.5%48 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked No62c49,999$31,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,799.6415950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes37c44,706$16,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,541.23426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Yes36c42,770$15,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,41136031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes39c40,000$15,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,60027039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No62c36,834$22,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,912.541,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc48…24c3backed No61c36,625$22,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,321.073842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No67c35,564$23,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,650.425844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e2…4b88backed No60c35,313$21,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,125.142548%12 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Yes16c34,384$5,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,386.2838333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes36c34,032$12,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,240.1418047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes37c32,574$12,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,165.111,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes49c31,835$15,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,468.771,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes36c30,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,8007839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Yes36c27,778$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0008639.5%34 W · 52 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes37c27,027$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00026320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4b4…1e69backed Yes38c26,014$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-65.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes34c25,506$8,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,666.1431945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No61c25,334$15,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,905.8877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes35c25,286$8,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,805.0533337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes36c25,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,999.994353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No60c24,766$14,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,019.9576048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes39c23,164$9,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,034.0119345.1%87 W · 106 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked No40c22,266$8,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,389.820839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf595…bfb5backed Yes37c22,000$8,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,24010736.4%39 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d97…f263backed Yes37c21,233$7,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,856.27742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes37c20,937$7,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,675.3665835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No61c20,759$12,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,096.1642541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed No60c20,589$12,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,338.1514544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No76c20,300$15,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,846.3321738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Yes41c20,103$8,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,155.5816957.4%97 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes36c20,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,199.999642.7%41 W · 55 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed No61c19,881$12,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,753.788845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes48c19,865$9,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,524.61,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fc5…6f99backed Yes43c18,927$8,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,05015131.8%48 W · 103 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes35c18,888$6,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,538.6619038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9786…4c55backed Yes40c18,750$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5009549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e56…616fbacked Yes35c18,664$6,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4583122.6%7 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-65.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked No41c17,588$7,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,382.2722933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes0c17,131$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.738960.7%236 W · 153 L+24.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed No62c17,128$10,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,507.516842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x472b…5d5fbacked Yes49c16,971$8,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,382.81136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked No64c16,933$10,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,095.8838734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No64c16,423$10,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,987.241,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22f9…f814backed No63c16,000$10,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,919.93240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes37c15,855$5,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,897.241,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes37c15,466$5,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,665.4742043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked No61c15,258$9,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,878.533549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Yes37c15,000$5,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5509823.5%23 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No62c15,000$9,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,657.0247144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes47c14,416$6,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,846.8765036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes23c14,147$3,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,209.9565948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes48c13,910$6,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,618.451,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2db5…cc23backed Yes36c13,889$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa04c…9e3fbacked Yes37c13,514$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0004136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Yes37c13,514$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00012536.8%46 W · 79 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Yes29c13,438$3,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,890.7529333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb29f…45b5backed Yes36c13,400$4,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8241421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-59.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x55fd…b51abacked Yes38c12,895$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9003333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x007f…58dabacked Yes54c12,440$6,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,7007243.1%31 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed No62c12,400$7,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,717.8244144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes48c12,388$5,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,974.361,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes33c12,000$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,92024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Yes32c12,000$3,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,839.997550.7%38 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No62c11,171$6,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,211.2750243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes39c11,110$4,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,332.917452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No44c11,011$4,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,127.8326949.1%132 W · 137 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No62c10,727$6,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,043.8148441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No52c10,283$5,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,966.224533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed Yes39c10,192$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0009649%47 W · 49 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes40c10,003$4,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,001.1324144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.