Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3984132d5d0c5be60bc0ad1dff63e44197b5f39a6135329490a0a75c0a372f06

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,091,220
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,058,465

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,091,220 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,463 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc430…1ebfbacked Yes	28c	527,819$148,972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148,971.89	89	32.6%29 W · 60 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde4b…93ffbacked Yes	0c	210,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-80.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	74c	179,940$133,922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,018.17	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	35c	150,977$53,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53,140.06	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No	33c	145,498$48,298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97,199.86	158	44.3%70 W · 88 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x627f…f83abacked Yes	0c	100,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked No	72c	86,006$61,578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,428.05	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No	75c	82,444$61,864 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,579.61	299	52.5%157 W · 142 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	73c	72,363$52,949 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,414.57	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Yes	0c	59,800$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.8	242	46.7%113 W · 129 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No	14c	53,428$7,246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,181.95	245	33.5%82 W · 163 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc1b…9d59backed No	80c	50,000$39,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,100	59	67.8%40 W · 19 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No	77c	46,302$35,692 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,610.26	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked No	6c	45,294$2,706 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,587.99	197	38.1%75 W · 122 L	+8.8wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No	72c	43,033$31,009 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,024.32	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No	8c	33,572$2,788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,784.38	399	33.1%132 W · 267 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes	27c	31,854$8,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,600.48	335	38.2%128 W · 207 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	6c	31,336$1,855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,855.33	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes	22c	30,000$6,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,500	250	38.8%97 W · 153 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes	64c	25,170$16,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,185.57	333	37.8%126 W · 207 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe240…81f6backed Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes	64c	23,362$15,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,049.56	319	45.5%145 W · 174 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked No	54c	23,329$12,592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,737.28	312	32.4%101 W · 211 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes	1c	21,954$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258	316	11.4%36 W · 280 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6afa…a4cabacked Yes	0c	20,083$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.14per pick	50cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes	25c	20,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	324	29.9%97 W · 227 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes	24c	20,000$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,799.99	193	32.1%62 W · 131 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed No	13c	18,078$2,371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,707.13	441	30.8%136 W · 305 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No	11c	17,712$1,942 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,770.09	445	39.6%176 W · 269 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7650…fac1backed No	72c	17,500$12,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,900	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	74c	16,856$12,401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,454.43	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed No	76c	16,489$12,613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,876.23	300	54%162 W · 138 L	+17.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No	79c	15,206$12,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,188.25	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Yes	26c	14,755$3,906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,906.14	93	45.2%42 W · 51 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Yes	21c	14,651$3,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,012.72	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Yes	27c	14,587$3,934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,934.36	67	37.3%25 W · 42 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x479b…cdb1backed Yes	28c	14,400$4,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,032	53	37.7%20 W · 33 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes	64c	14,335$9,236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,236.08	420	43.1%181 W · 239 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1c…9867backed No	72c	13,687$9,855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,832.39	77	53.2%41 W · 36 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed No	11c	13,608$1,439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,168.78	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+94.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	71c	13,250$9,457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,456.62	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb376…a463backed No	72c	13,182$9,491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,691.09	73	43.8%32 W · 41 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e56…616fbacked Yes	28c	13,005$3,618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,617.51	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fee…7e03backed Yes	17c	13,000$2,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,239.99	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No	73c	12,884$9,347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,537.06	326	56.1%183 W · 143 L	+29.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x851a…6b12backed Yes	24c	12,500$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	96	31.3%30 W · 66 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	25c	11,327$2,833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,832.59	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df4…fc58backed Yes	28c	10,844$3,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,036.22	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcfb…efc0backed Yes	28c	10,714$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	71	29.6%21 W · 50 L	-6.6wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes	24c	10,473$2,513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,513.49	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes	18c	10,158$1,837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,836.72	265	34%90 W · 175 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0178…bff1backed Yes	28c	10,000$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.18per pick	31cpaid	-74.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe91d…1eeebacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes	12c	10,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	245	26.5%65 W · 180 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Yes	24c	10,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	219	37%81 W · 138 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Yes	27c	10,000$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,699.97	87	35.6%31 W · 56 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79e3…7d2cbacked Yes	7c	9,782$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$684.73	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe00e…ea73backed No	9c	9,698$918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,779.66	107	32.7%35 W · 72 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked No	25c	9,541$2,377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,163.62	229	33.6%77 W · 152 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked No	6c	9,250$585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,665.19	362	34%123 W · 239 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x753d…2ce0backed No	14c	8,929$1,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,678.53	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked No	76c	8,003$6,082 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,920.91	58	63.8%37 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No	71c	8,000$5,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,320	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a4…6ed6backed Yes	25c	8,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes	65c	7,636$4,945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,944.99	244	43%105 W · 139 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Yes	10c	7,396$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$739.62	137	21.2%29 W · 108 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes	32c	7,265$2,307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,306.97	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f07…e8cebacked Yes	21c	7,143$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed No	72c	6,935$4,993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,941.8	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked No	75c	6,835$5,126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,708.8	335	49%164 W · 171 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes	24c	6,792$1,630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,630	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Yes	15c	6,667$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x387e…3653backed Yes	19c	6,637$1,245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,245.5	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	14cpaid	-50%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…04a9backed No	73c	6,483$4,733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,750.42	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No	71c	6,400$4,544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,856	378	50.5%191 W · 187 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe41b…9397backed Yes	5c	6,187$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	6c	6,187$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.77	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No	22c	6,143$1,369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,774.4	104	43.3%45 W · 59 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No	71c	6,116$4,364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,752.15	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb41…edaabacked Yes	13c	6,091$813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$812.99	67	43.3%29 W · 38 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No	71c	6,082$4,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,742.26	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe589…0666backed Yes	5c	6,019$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed No	9c	5,999$552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,446.45	259	42.1%109 W · 150 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed No	9c	5,387$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,922.88	258	21.3%55 W · 203 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No	71c	5,332$3,806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,525.58	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes	5c	5,185$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.51	402	39.8%160 W · 242 L	-13.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes	62c	5,015$3,127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,127.15	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ede…4284backed Yes	28c	5,000$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	187	38%71 W · 116 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Yes	27c	5,000$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,349.99	83	37.3%31 W · 52 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc48…24c3backed No	72c	4,900$3,528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,371.99	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff82…bd3cbacked Yes	11c	4,738$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Yes	74c	4,718$3,508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,507.86	178	52.2%93 W · 85 L	+10.4wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes	25c	4,618$1,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,154.5	356	21.9%78 W · 278 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Yes	25c	4,500$1,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,125	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4718…e2e8backed Yes	25c	4,444$1,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,111	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed No	5c	4,444$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,221.8	213	14.1%30 W · 183 L	+14.3wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+135.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No	71c	4,432$3,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,282.15	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes	12c	4,326$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	98	23.5%23 W · 75 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Yes	6c	4,321$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.26	69	29%20 W · 49 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No	11c	4,303$484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,818.63	388	19.1%74 W · 314 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?this page
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Yes won
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event