Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-08-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c5645b75b319399034073131f5cdfb29e11f4e9ff2cc64856bb511deed2d918
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 6,771$4,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.71 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 41c | 3,759$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.24 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 24c | 2,177$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.21 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked No | 9c | 1,500$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 23c | 940.27$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.26 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 4c | 621.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 14c | 592$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.98 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd404…b4ebbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 19c | 392$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.03 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 18c | 382.16$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.64 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed Yes | 68c | 368$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.76 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 32c | 262.43$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.5 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked No | 19c | 249.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 15c | 227.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 76c | 223.68$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 15c | 222.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.75 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701e…6137backed No | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…13e6backed No | 74c | 183.6$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 67c | 166.48$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 67c | 164.45$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed No | 31c | 162.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +11.0wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dea…774cbacked No | 66c | 146.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf484…e79cbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 59c | 130.82$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 39c | 124.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Yes | 49c | 115$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +330.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…ba39backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 57c | 105.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 33c | 101.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dc…48fabacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 57c | 98.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 61c | 90.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1b…6cc0backed Yes | 76c | 85.78$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 40c | 82.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 74c | 81.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 49c | 80.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 41c | 66.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 60c | 48.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 50c | 39.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed No | 32c | 37.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes | 59c | 35.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +12.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 42c | 31.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 69c | 22.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37fb…d4dabacked Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…77aabacked Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Yes | 59c | 19.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Yes | 67c | 16.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-08-02?this page
- Will AIK vs. Orgryte IS end in a draw?No won
- Will AIK win on 2026-08-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.