Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AIK vs. Orgryte IS end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffaef0c9e3fca75cff794f972cbc93d0490cdd1ac5bf087756c031dda61e864a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 75c | 2,928$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.28 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 20c | 2,100$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd404…b4ebbacked Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 80c | 578$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 28c | 555.55$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 20c | 554.9$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 27c | 406.46$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 376.78$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.36 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 80c | 361.24$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.25 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 80c | 286.2$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 254.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 20c | 238.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc47…eb82backed Yes | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 102.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked No | 73c | 101.43$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 72c | 90.78$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 78c | 69.67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 73c | 66.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 25c | 52.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 77c | 17.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 78c | 16.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AIK vs. Orgryte IS end in a draw?this page
- Will AIK win on 2026-08-02?No won
- Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-08-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.