TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: MIBR LOS vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MIBR LOSof MIBR LOS, AG.AL International
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$250,698
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$300,894

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,698 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc65c…ea39backed AG.AL International30c32,111$9,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,732.6334356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed MIBR LOS69c24,377$16,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,645.8924145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed AG.AL International52c17,000$8,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,893.8452155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed MIBR LOS73c13,393$9,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,641.4410455.8%58 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c23…cab3backed AG.AL International28c9,500$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,659.997656.6%43 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2276…efd0backed MIBR LOS64c8,808$5,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,201.893177.4%24 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked MIBR LOS72c7,420$5,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,077.5933153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked AG.AL International27c6,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.9826738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked AG.AL International33c5,496$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,840.4426650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed MIBR LOS65c4,725$3,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.4222344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked MIBR LOS44c4,450$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,497.6335142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed MIBR LOS42c4,288$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,474.966746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2526…218ebacked MIBR LOS54c4,149$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,893.71742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked AG.AL International57c3,170$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,815.4328955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b3f…8facbacked AG.AL International57c3,002$1,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,704.6730%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked MIBR LOS53c2,984$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.3968949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed AG.AL International26c2,931$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.7693049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked MIBR LOS42c2,853$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.942140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa413…6c4abacked MIBR LOS73c2,740$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.81450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked MIBR LOS72c2,683$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.325253.8%28 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e38…2a58backed MIBR LOS72c2,085$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.794273.8%31 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed AG.AL International31c2,083$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.3723151.9%120 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d0…2101backed MIBR LOS68c2,060$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.081963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed AG.AL International65c1,988$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.96683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed AG.AL International19c1,969$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.0532245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd0e9…67ffbacked AG.AL International27c1,865$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.596445.3%29 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed AG.AL International46c1,864$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.6560022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08e7…4f63backed MIBR LOS45c1,861$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.564156.1%23 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+39.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed AG.AL International33c1,850$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.4941734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8112…1e6fbacked AG.AL International38c1,831$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7361…2a8dbacked AG.AL International34c1,791$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked AG.AL International34c1,676$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.764630.4%14 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked MIBR LOS72c1,436$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.4628743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed MIBR LOS62c1,416$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.0349255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed MIBR LOS72c1,390$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.25459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed AG.AL International46c1,377$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.7114850.7%75 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ec8…6ba2backed MIBR LOS73c1,258$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.551250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed AG.AL International28c1,200$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3368640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked MIBR LOS71c1,199$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.3750944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb758…4699backed MIBR LOS59c1,174$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.148852.3%46 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed AG.AL International21c1,164$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.4314938.3%57 W · 92 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed MIBR LOS73c1,055$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.793339.4%13 W · 20 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-36%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked AG.AL International27c1,019$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.134452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed AG.AL International34c1,015$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.3940945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked MIBR LOS57c1,002$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.571,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed AG.AL International34c1,000$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.6324250.4%122 W · 120 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3202…6a46backed AG.AL International26c999.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed AG.AL International28c999.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2805655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked AG.AL International4c995.76$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.285360.4%32 W · 21 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed AG.AL International61c991.35$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.6754751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed MIBR LOS51c911.95$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.5423732.9%78 W · 159 L-20.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked MIBR LOS40c888$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.855152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0f4…e02fbacked AG.AL International7c858.33$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.371963.2%12 W · 7 L+5.2wins+0.27per pick36cpaid+58.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed AG.AL International29c800$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23022449.1%110 W · 114 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf490…63afbacked MIBR LOS67c800$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2646636.4%24 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed AG.AL International34c780.73$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.961,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked AG.AL International39c737.88$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.1488844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed AG.AL International28c700$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19628541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ec…64b6backed AG.AL International28c696.68$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.076028.3%17 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed MIBR LOS70c674$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9914750.3%74 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x474c…6625backed MIBR LOS45c649.56$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.262740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x034a…49c0backed MIBR LOS58c649.34$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed AG.AL International44c630.72$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.9953442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked AG.AL International28c630$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.46442.2%27 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed MIBR LOS60c622.09$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.6946347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed AG.AL International34c615$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.119546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked MIBR LOS40c612.73$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.8313455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4377…74c2backed AG.AL International48c611.82$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.376848.5%33 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed MIBR LOS67c611.13$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.676346%29 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked AG.AL International28c606.96$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.819040%36 W · 54 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8cc…661ebacked MIBR LOS74c600$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1565660.7%34 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked MIBR LOS64c599.99$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.9160154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed AG.AL International28c578.57$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1623444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed MIBR LOS40c572$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.23627.8%10 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x69f2…a80dbacked MIBR LOS73c570$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.96668.2%45 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked MIBR LOS76c561.6$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.6713741.6%57 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed AG.AL International57c556.22$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.33857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked MIBR LOS41c542$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.854439.9%217 W · 327 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked AG.AL International34c540.89$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.381,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed AG.AL International7c530.72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6922018.2%40 W · 180 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed MIBR LOS65c524.37$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.537252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked MIBR LOS40c517.56$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.566250%31 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed AG.AL International61c514$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked MIBR LOS67c499.99$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed AG.AL International33c499.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16513743.8%60 W · 77 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed AG.AL International28c499.89$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9721457%122 W · 92 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed MIBR LOS70c499.86$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8634253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked AG.AL International36c476.46$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4913043.8%57 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2944…cf36backed MIBR LOS65c471.57$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.055743.9%25 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed MIBR LOS41c470.48$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.238145.7%37 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9015…281fbacked MIBR LOS71c456.17$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.291637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed AG.AL International44c454.89$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019847%93 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed AG.AL International32c434.13$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9217654.5%96 W · 80 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked AG.AL International36c429.08$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15625444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked MIBR LOS34c411.76$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.7625843%111 W · 147 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed AG.AL International34c399.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13618049.4%89 W · 91 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd677…7579backed AG.AL International29c395.01$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.552254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x901b…59efbacked AG.AL International31c391.58$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a8…6427backed MIBR LOS78c379.88$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4210566.7%70 W · 35 L+10.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd18c…6205backed AG.AL International27c366.81$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.04425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.