TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x034a…49c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Serie A, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$105.41
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$731Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$730.62
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$296.77
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$218.21
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,693Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,693.09
Panama vs. England: England O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,409.58
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.73
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.48
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$113.45
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$445.33
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$190.41
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$555.46
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.72
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.66
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$171.18
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+413.8%+$134.88
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.23
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$573.48
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$170.64
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+112.1%+$246.04
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$111.12
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$70.91
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$685.65
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$28.71
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$95.27
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Mariano Navone vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$137.76
Wimbledon ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$109.41
HSBC Championships: Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$426.65
HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$225.77
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworthbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,033Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$581.15
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$258.16
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,333.7
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$704.6
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wubacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$620.58
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,726Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,726.34
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$92.12
Roland Garros ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$84.58
Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Reilly Opelkabacked Federico Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$48.83
Miomir Kecmanovic vs. Fabian Marozsan: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.47
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$151.93
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$234.32
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.38
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$108.34
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$97.08
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.75
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$24.94
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.32
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$903Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$368.92
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.96
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$94.12
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+82.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+127.7%+$182.57
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$58.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.33
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$131.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$445.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$62.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$126.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$39.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.