TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,760,217
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,973,674

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,760,217 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 4,489 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e4d…b874backed No49c8,007,687$3,903,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,903,609.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+40%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e25…d49ebacked Yes51c2,184,027$1,113,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070,173.353360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8cb4…1057backed Yes52c2,140,000$1,106,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033,379.062147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes51c1,043,060$536,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506,354.0674752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1c5…cbd0backed No49c955,803$468,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468,343.562548%12 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes52c880,860$456,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424,777.5233538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56b4…a84bbacked No49c845,891$414,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414,486.592040%8 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a55…f9bebacked Yes51c800,000$408,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Yes51c556,908$284,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272,884.758440.5%34 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe133…c4fbbacked No48c449,996$215,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215,998.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed No49c433,384$212,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212,358.0315552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x89dd…f662backed Yes51c400,000$204,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195,999.92774.1%20 W · 7 L+7.8wins+0.29per pick45cpaid+98.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Yes50c300,000$150,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150,00015249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes51c264,706$135,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129,705.8819644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Yes51c250,000$127,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122,50011642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes65c235,045$152,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,184.128,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No27c211,890$57,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,605.344,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes55c207,822$114,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92,946.372,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4761…5ae8backed No46c201,830$93,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93,022.213040%12 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes52c200,300$104,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,143.975839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes53c176,560$94,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,434.9738734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed No49c162,800$79,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,3529247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed No48c159,996$76,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,798.177949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x408f…b2f4backed Yes52c159,036$82,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,111.594151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No29c139,852$40,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,067.156541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Yes51c110,000$56,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,9003237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1e6…e1c2backed Yes72c102,119$73,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,710.74158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes51c100,000$51,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,00018740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No47c99,999$47,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,999.577941.8%33 W · 46 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No50c97,305$48,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,652.520844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Yes52c88,888$46,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,666.2411647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed No4c87,037$3,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,264.4225821.3%55 W · 203 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Yes51c86,531$44,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,400.199345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No12c86,234$10,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,059.3623540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes52c80,032$41,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,716.111,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes73c78,254$57,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,170.332,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No48c75,000$36,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,00016331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked No49c74,998$36,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,999.25263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes67c63,058$42,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,504.461,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes52c60,000$31,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,891.22,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked No50c59,224$29,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,612.16842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes51c58,464$29,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,494.851,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe2…2c95backed Yes71c56,617$40,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,330.262045%9 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+49.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes78c56,229$43,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,486.9518047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d16…f032backed Yes52c54,223$28,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,223.235639.3%22 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes52c51,203$26,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,353.4242541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Yes51c50,748$25,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,866.5827345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Yes51c50,000$25,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,5005749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed No48c50,000$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,0003943.6%17 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No48c46,440$22,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,460.19943.4%43 W · 56 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked No48c45,576$21,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,876.246627.3%18 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No49c44,998$21,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,849.1520044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes52c44,231$23,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,230.7717840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No44c44,072$19,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,396.9677152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No49c43,530$21,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,230.311,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed No48c40,000$19,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,20017949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes52c40,000$20,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,40013959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed No48c40,000$19,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,199.861127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-58.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No48c40,000$19,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,199.8527039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No6c38,304$2,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,395.244,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes51c35,000$17,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,15074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c32…d685backed Yes52c35,000$18,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,9501020%2 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick12cpaid-19.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked No49c33,472$16,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,401.287851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Yes51c32,761$16,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,052.8921029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No49c30,000$14,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,70010056%56 W · 44 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed No48c29,993$14,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,396.413345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa3c…3111backed Yes52c28,846$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,846.154341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc84…04b2backed No47c28,500$13,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,394.832245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes52c27,885$14,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,384.6236247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No48c26,501$12,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,845.7329952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd0e…9884backed Yes52c26,006$13,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,549.663151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No11c25,614$2,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,797.4139933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No49c25,592$12,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,490.3950243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes52c25,000$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,0004353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47de…007dbacked No49c24,359$11,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,973.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No48c24,003$11,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,521.447642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5682…97afbacked Yes51c24,000$12,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,7602828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-42.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa8b9…775dbacked Yes74c23,777$17,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,076.987838.5%30 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes51c23,529$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,529.416947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed No49c22,222$10,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,888.7813742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No49c22,000$10,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,749.9248441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8436…4c19backed No50c21,999$10,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,889.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No8c21,689$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,822.2165651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No49c21,600$10,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,56813235.6%47 W · 85 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes51c21,569$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,568.6310555.2%58 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No29c21,429$6,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,255.393,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No49c20,500$10,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,014.9847643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No49c20,254$9,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,902.5747144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Yes51c20,000$10,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,9007455.4%41 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x620c…4baebacked Yes51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,8002867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x98c3…b28dbacked Yes50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0003053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No49c19,802$9,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,704.8116835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes51c19,608$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,607.8431644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No25c19,173$4,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,741.530117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9744…4789backed Yes50c18,888$9,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,4441241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3799…2728backed No49c18,804$9,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,213.911233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-44.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes59c18,071$10,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,346.1879231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked No48c17,810$8,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,575.8514219.7%28 W · 114 L-0.5wins0.00per pick20cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked No49c17,098$8,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,378.0217447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes54c16,686$9,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,669.8549441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.