TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$962,087
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$910,194

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $962,087 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 726 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9cb9…32f2backed No72c123,902$89,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,694.7825038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes24c51,071$12,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,305.898,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c7c…0ec9backed Yes4c50,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003528.6%10 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes0c45,042$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.981,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No71c42,329$30,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,252.120044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes28c42,281$11,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,838.6474752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes21c31,235$6,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,493.641,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes3c18,402$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.0731644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No71c17,836$12,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,172.3629952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005a…bccebacked No72c16,871$12,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,723.88666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes22c16,659$3,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,616.962,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9896…a925backed Yes29c15,916$4,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,615.643036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No73c14,767$10,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,987.1211963.9%76 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe2…2c95backed Yes21c13,570$2,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,832.532045%9 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+49.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes27c10,529$2,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,842.933538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No80c8,741$6,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.7142541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb334…1ae1backed Yes4c7,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300205%1 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick18cpaid-82.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes1c6,980$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6238819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes16c6,912$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.681,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes14c6,667$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.8998134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Yes4c6,175$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.948134.6%28 W · 53 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes22c5,935$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.1479231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Yes29c5,508$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.3312248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Yes15c5,424$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.4715335.3%54 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes13c5,410$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.8936939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No71c5,328$3,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.124075%30 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca5a…7e43backed Yes29c5,132$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.28540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+104.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8be4…b795backed Yes28c5,075$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4216633.3%22 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes9c5,067$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.0318321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9501,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked No71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.991250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.917269.4%50 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x180a…54a6backed Yes29c4,910$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4242040%8 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+69.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd0e…9884backed Yes20c4,899$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No71c4,861$3,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.665851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a54…7c49backed Yes20c4,855$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.054930.6%15 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes27c4,739$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.1138734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Yes3c4,686$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.5716325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes14c4,429$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.623,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Yes1c4,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6036437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Yes28c3,777$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.537035.7%25 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No72c3,552$2,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.412,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b9…775dbacked Yes29c3,448$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007838.5%30 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5c…174ebacked Yes29c3,448$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005450%27 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes15c3,355$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.252,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8a07…1d4dbacked Yes17c3,276$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.9213231.8%42 W · 90 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes3c3,239$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.444,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80c0…9519backed Yes19c3,132$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5955420.4%11 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.9923255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Yes27c3,000$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.5915128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes29c2,971$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.6228025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes19c2,883$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.8131945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0674…f212backed Yes28c2,817$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004228.6%12 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d5…720fbacked Yes2c2,516$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016731.7%53 W · 114 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked No72c2,501$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.2814250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No71c2,390$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.0947648.5%231 W · 245 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc1e…6067backed Yes29c2,372$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.768439.3%33 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes1c2,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3039933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes8c2,091$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1731739.2%16 W · 157 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes19c2,088$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.2624616.3%40 W · 206 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea7…9d9abacked Yes29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58022730.4%69 W · 158 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd16…0be8backed Yes28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.973740.5%15 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a98…1b92backed No78c1,993$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.7211249.1%55 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf59c…a682backed Yes20c1,883$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.517636.8%28 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0755045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No72c1,750$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49010863%68 W · 40 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes11c1,726$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.32,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb143…f649backed Yes29c1,720$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.89242.4%39 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes18c1,663$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.136634.4%126 W · 240 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4655…b1bcbacked Yes29c1,652$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.184339.5%17 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddf5…c5c0backed Yes24c1,627$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.54050%20 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78cd…6a61backed No72c1,605$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.323171%22 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes29c1,552$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45035621.9%78 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fa9…9a60backed Yes29c1,483$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4305431.5%17 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ccf…cd14backed Yes20c1,431$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.1314139.7%56 W · 85 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Yes29c1,392$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40040912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x627b…285bbacked No72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.8912844.5%57 W · 71 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No72c1,383$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.9784738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Yes29c1,379$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003420.6%7 W · 27 L-6.0wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-55.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8abf…2cd1backed Yes29c1,379$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003250%16 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Yes27c1,364$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.354148.8%20 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8339…fd49backed Yes29c1,294$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.6328533%94 W · 191 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8105…955abacked Yes29c1,276$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3701723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f54…b1abbacked Yes5c1,257$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.969938.4%38 W · 61 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc391…56d0backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick17cpaid+37.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4352…e2c4backed Yes8c1,238$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+43.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No75c1,205$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.2517569.1%121 W · 54 L+14.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80e1…3830backed Yes29c1,103$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32018444.6%82 W · 102 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb63…31efbacked Yes28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.25per pick33cpaid-87.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x60da…a14ebacked Yes28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011936.1%43 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e7…31f3backed Yes28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003435.3%12 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes26c1,068$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.5665835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbba9…2e70backed Yes19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019817.2%34 W · 164 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2816…c811backed Yes29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007335.6%26 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x442f…e7a2backed Yes29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011038.2%42 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62d2…1b70backed Yes29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No72c1,028$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.8424148.1%116 W · 125 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b94…b660backed Yes29c1,022$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.314131.7%13 W · 28 L-7.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-31.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9471…df4abacked Yes29c1,017$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.92728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.