CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5378dd6d032220f71b96c629c9b83fca57ae6394a2848d5ec8b99eda66e71709
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof TheMongolz, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $461,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $515,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $461,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 303 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1626…9e8dbacked TheMongolz | 0c | 26,190$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Spirit | 57c | 23,928$13,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,288.99 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked TheMongolz | 43c | 22,624$9,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,702.02 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Spirit | 51c | 11,099$5,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,432.88 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed TheMongolz | 42c | 9,999$4,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,197.17 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b4…b220backed TheMongolz | 0c | 9,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed TheMongolz | 53c | 7,387$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Spirit | 58c | 7,127$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,002.24 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Spirit | 58c | 5,713$3,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.92 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked TheMongolz | 43c | 5,000$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.5 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TheMongolz | 36c | 4,927$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.09 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Spirit | 58c | 3,650$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed TheMongolz | 53c | 3,407$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.23 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit | 54c | 3,368$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.48 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked TheMongolz | 15c | 3,191$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.71 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed TheMongolz | 43c | 2,930$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked TheMongolz | 43c | 2,700$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.82 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked TheMongolz | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TheMongolz | 38c | 2,529$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.57 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Spirit | 60c | 2,500$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.76 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0695…b260backed Spirit | 70c | 2,103$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked TheMongolz | 27c | 2,077$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.25 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17fe…b0cabacked TheMongolz | 41c | 1,951$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed TheMongolz | 35c | 1,860$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.79 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked TheMongolz | 27c | 1,857$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.88 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Spirit | 71c | 1,649$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.92 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Spirit | 80c | 1,497$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.14 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked TheMongolz | 45c | 1,482$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.02 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked TheMongolz | 75c | 1,480$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.92 | 381 | 57.7%220 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz | 25c | 1,461$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.51 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed TheMongolz | 37c | 1,456$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.2 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked TheMongolz | 29c | 1,453$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.36 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8e…c29ebacked Spirit | 72c | 1,439$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.7 | 281 | 43.8%123 W · 158 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TheMongolz | 29c | 1,338$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.34 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Spirit | 38c | 1,298$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.54 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Spirit | 58c | 1,292$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.3 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked TheMongolz | 39c | 1,271$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Spirit | 58c | 1,250$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spirit | 64c | 1,206$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.26 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed TheMongolz | 13c | 1,193$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.57 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Spirit | 60c | 1,159$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.04 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed TheMongolz | 41c | 1,158$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.64 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b8…82c1backed Spirit | 61c | 1,140$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.5 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked TheMongolz | 37c | 1,098$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.77 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked TheMongolz | 43c | 1,086$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.65 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked TheMongolz | 39c | 1,070$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.9 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked TheMongolz | 37c | 1,006$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.05 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Spirit | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Spirit | 74c | 999.81$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.97 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed TheMongolz | 8c | 925$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 90 | 23.3%21 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Spirit | 75c | 900.01$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.21 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…5393backed TheMongolz | 31c | 900$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Spirit | 68c | 880.75$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.75 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -15.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Spirit | 58c | 858.06$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.39 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed TheMongolz | 38c | 841.55$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.14 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked Spirit | 64c | 802.55$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.55 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed TheMongolz | 42c | 784$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.28 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 65c | 767.45$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed TheMongolz | 29c | 760.65$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.91 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93df…7306backed TheMongolz | 78c | 755.43$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.31 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…c48fbacked Spirit | 77c | 712.01$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.76 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked TheMongolz | 41c | 704.42$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.22 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Spirit | 57c | 691.54$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.67 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed TheMongolz | 36c | 667.55$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.32 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd4…5faabacked TheMongolz | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…49c0backed Spirit | 77c | 662.38$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked TheMongolz | 36c | 657.41$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.1 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Spirit | 54c | 635.03$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.03 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfe…1220backed Spirit | 58c | 629.31$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.31 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Spirit | 59c | 622.49$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.67 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed TheMongolz | 23c | 621.55$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.45 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit | 64c | 603.13$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.13 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Spirit | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed TheMongolz | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TheMongolz | 38c | 587.55$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.71 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked Spirit | 31c | 571.17$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.11 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed TheMongolz | 18c | 569$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed TheMongolz | 27c | 563.21$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.35 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f79…abbbbacked TheMongolz | 15c | 542.98$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.67 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Spirit | 70c | 534.92$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.75 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a2…c5cdbacked TheMongolz | 26c | 520.12$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.54 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TheMongolz | 28c | 513.83$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.15 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…1550backed Spirit | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Spirit | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spirit | 70c | 489.36$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.37 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed TheMongolz | 19c | 479.65$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 184 | 42.9%79 W · 105 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed Spirit | 71c | 479.35$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.24 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked TheMongolz | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Spirit | 43c | 469.64$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.65 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b14…039bbacked Spirit | 61c | 459.64$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.64 | 118 | 71.2%84 W · 34 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed TheMongolz | 35c | 436$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.61 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TheMongolz | 25c | 435.36$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.62 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…1be2backed Spirit | 63c | 403.36$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.24 | 83 | 74.7%62 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed TheMongolz | 37c | 397.17$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.95 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Spirit | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked TheMongolz | 10c | 381.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 415 | 16.6%69 W · 346 L | -36.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked TheMongolz | 34c | 373.61$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.67 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…3126backed TheMongolz | 27c | 370.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Spirit | 59c | 362.41$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.41 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +16.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Spirit | 71c | 356.77$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.32 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.