CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x480c9d26bb7cb206450bfbb5c85fc2257cda155cd18282a2d2415979f288fb75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked TheMongolz | 56c | 26,399$14,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,718.82 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spirit | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,199.99 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked TheMongolz | 54c | 5,180$2,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,797.11 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Spirit | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf917…bde0backed TheMongolz | 58c | 1,730$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.97 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Spirit | 54c | 1,312$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.45 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Spirit | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.35 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…f476backed Spirit | 51c | 1,287$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.6 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b8…82c1backed Spirit | 52c | 1,109$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.87 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Spirit | 44c | 1,019$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.77 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed TheMongolz | 54c | 999.96$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.98 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Spirit | 45c | 999.96$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.98 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Spirit | 43c | 922.21$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.66 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Spirit | 42c | 900$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed Spirit | 54c | 850.19$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.3 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Spirit | 53c | 808.08$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.23 | 381 | 57.7%220 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Spirit | 42c | 792.18$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.46 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked TheMongolz | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Spirit | 56c | 713.77$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.77 | 224 | 44.2%99 W · 125 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 45c | 668.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.53 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Spirit | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 173 | 57.2%99 W · 74 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfe…1220backed Spirit | 56c | 532.14$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.14 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked TheMongolz | 51c | 504.93$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Spirit | 51c | 432.96$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.15 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Spirit | 58c | 402.36$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.36 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Spirit | 45c | 399.95$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.97 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed TheMongolz | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b6…e762backed Spirit | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed TheMongolz | 57c | 298.57$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.67 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked TheMongolz | 55c | 293.89$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.64 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TheMongolz | 44c | 263.15$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed TheMongolz | 57c | 263$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.17 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed TheMongolz | 55c | 260$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Spirit | 43c | 232.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.8 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed TheMongolz | 54c | 231.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.14 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…9a56backed Spirit | 45c | 226.8$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.74 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…57d5backed Spirit | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Spirit | 44c | 211.13$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.85 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…7eaabacked TheMongolz | 48c | 208.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Spirit | 52c | 208.04$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.86 | 198 | 57.6%114 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Spirit | 65c | 202.91$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.76 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked TheMongolz | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 263 | 41.1%108 W · 155 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Spirit | 49c | 199.75$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed TheMongolz | 49c | 196.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.42 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed TheMongolz | 57c | 189.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.29 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed TheMongolz | 54c | 184.01$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.37 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed TheMongolz | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked TheMongolz | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked TheMongolz | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…2862backed TheMongolz | 57c | 175.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…6529backed TheMongolz | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed TheMongolz | 56c | 168$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.52 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed Spirit | 46c | 152.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0c…c1f2backed TheMongolz | 56c | 145.32$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…0ef5backed Spirit | 46c | 141.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.81 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4e…c150backed TheMongolz | 56c | 133.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked TheMongolz | 64c | 123.44$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Spirit | 44c | 110.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda11…25c3backed Spirit | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…3923backed Spirit | 46c | 106.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed TheMongolz | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked TheMongolz | 55c | 103.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ef…4a40backed TheMongolz | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Spirit | 44c | 95.75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed TheMongolz | 54c | 90.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked TheMongolz | 61c | 81.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Spirit | 43c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed TheMongolz | 55c | 65.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed TheMongolz | 54c | 63.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Spirit | 46c | 60.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6347…3047backed Spirit | 45c | 59.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Spirit | 42c | 54.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3da3backed Spirit | 45c | 54.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed Spirit | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…6acebacked TheMongolz | 56c | 51.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Spirit | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed TheMongolz | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 226 | 51.3%116 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Spirit | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed Spirit | 62c | 48.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Spirit | 55c | 48.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Spirit | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362f…f6b9backed TheMongolz | 57c | 47.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9d…c024backed Spirit | 45c | 47.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…ae8cbacked Spirit | 48c | 47.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spirit | 45c | 46.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Spirit | 46c | 45.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed TheMongolz | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Spirit | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed TheMongolz | 40c | 42.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…bdbebacked TheMongolz | 55c | 41.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked TheMongolz | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 377 | 57.8%218 W · 159 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…fe26backed TheMongolz | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bed…fd9cbacked Spirit | 56c | 35.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 206 | 56.8%117 W · 89 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed Spirit | 43c | 34.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked TheMongolz | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Spirit | 42c | 32.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…8e60backed Spirit | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…5c7ebacked Spirit | 46c | 31.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c47…2e55backed Spirit | 52c | 30.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Spirit | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.