CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76cdff3486d1193d6bb9164cbbd2457c19d030adb9ddf4cf3e10ad45c84eb1a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 56c | 3,553$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.53 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Over | 48c | 2,548$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Over | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 0.9%1 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 44c | 999.96$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.98 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 57c | 892.86$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.93 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 58c | 696.18$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.4 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 474.17$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.02 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 30c | 417.03$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 38c | 412.14$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.75 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed Over | 44c | 345$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 56c | 340.28$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.72 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 58c | 303.82$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 532 | 44.9%239 W · 293 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…2769backed Over | 60c | 291.25$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.53 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 37c | 272.39$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.14 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 57c | 271.98$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.47 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 44c | 267.46$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.68 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 21c | 249.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 36c | 168.86$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.03 | 1,643 | 32.8%539 W · 1,104 L | -48.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 58c | 155.01$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 1,360 | 66.3%901 W · 459 L | +75.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 21c | 102$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…4ce4backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Under | 56c | 79.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed Under | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Under | 52c | 71.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 56c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 32c | 66.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…e0f4backed Over | 44c | 61.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Over | 47c | 53.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 470 | 65.1%306 W · 164 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d5…7146backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ec…bf51backed Over | 43c | 46.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 67c | 45.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 43c | 43.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…983abacked Under | 68c | 42.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…5bbfbacked Over | 44c | 36.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Over | 64c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…8869backed Under | 56c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee8…432ebacked Under | 65c | 29.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 56c | 28.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed Under | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Under | 55c | 20.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.