CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4baacd56a879cb667d161e6175a59ea80844490de68bda339a859ec4498f8e35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof TheMongolz, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $481,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $570,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $481,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 380 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spirit | 74c | 97,441$72,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,334.64 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed TheMongolz | 26c | 50,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d09…2543backed TheMongolz | 20c | 31,483$6,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,249.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked TheMongolz | 26c | 22,889$5,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,991.23 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked TheMongolz | 25c | 21,454$5,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,363.58 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 74c | 16,978$12,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480.42 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Spirit | 75c | 14,003$10,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,544.7 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked TheMongolz | 15c | 10,932$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.66 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…a577backed TheMongolz | 18c | 10,147$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.15 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked TheMongolz | 23c | 8,800$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed TheMongolz | 21c | 7,783$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.42 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed TheMongolz | 25c | 6,774$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.89 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Spirit | 79c | 6,391$5,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.93 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed TheMongolz | 1c | 5,077$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47b3…039cbacked TheMongolz | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.98 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked TheMongolz | 27c | 4,956$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.12 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Spirit | 73c | 4,514$3,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.9 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked TheMongolz | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Spirit | 76c | 3,852$2,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.02 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked TheMongolz | 26c | 3,846$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed TheMongolz | 26c | 3,600$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.98 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…5aa1backed TheMongolz | 4c | 3,570$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.79 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked TheMongolz | 23c | 3,255$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.04 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed TheMongolz | 26c | 3,250$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.47 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked TheMongolz | 10c | 3,200$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed TheMongolz | 27c | 3,073$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.58 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…f444backed Spirit | 74c | 2,960$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.44 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Spirit | 77c | 2,872$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.62 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +16.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x568e…6980backed TheMongolz | 27c | 2,864$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.65 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked TheMongolz | 17c | 2,837$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.19 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf917…bde0backed TheMongolz | 27c | 2,650$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.58 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Spirit | 74c | 2,537$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.6 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Spirit | 77c | 2,466$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.81 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TheMongolz | 18c | 2,282$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.54 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc778…8d85backed Spirit | 75c | 2,146$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.42 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked TheMongolz | 23c | 2,065$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed66…4d20backed Spirit | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked TheMongolz | 21c | 1,998$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.12 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b8…82c1backed Spirit | 78c | 1,982$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.93 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Spirit | 72c | 1,963$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.71 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f2…a67ebacked Spirit | 80c | 1,902$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fd…1128backed Spirit | 79c | 1,772$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2de…ef3abacked TheMongolz | 27c | 1,692$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Spirit | 73c | 1,600$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.46 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed TheMongolz | 21c | 1,505$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.62 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Spirit | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked TheMongolz | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed TheMongolz | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.99 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed TheMongolz | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…5345backed Spirit | 74c | 1,470$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.2 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60d…9f09backed Spirit | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked TheMongolz | 26c | 1,299$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.82 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked TheMongolz | 26c | 1,298$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.35 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Spirit | 73c | 1,250$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.98 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2b…20e4backed TheMongolz | 6c | 1,250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Spirit | 74c | 1,200$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 173 | 57.2%99 W · 74 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed TheMongolz | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Spirit | 74c | 1,117$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.62 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed TheMongolz | 25c | 1,109$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.28 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed TheMongolz | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…b6ecbacked Spirit | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked TheMongolz | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed TheMongolz | 27c | 999.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed TheMongolz | 28c | 974.07$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.74 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TheMongolz | 16c | 973.08$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.79 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked TheMongolz | 18c | 934.19$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.48 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5846…0388backed TheMongolz | 24c | 898.75$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.2 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz | 19c | 885.28$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.24 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed TheMongolz | 23c | 880$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.8 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Spirit | 77c | 865.48$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.3 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ff…0852backed TheMongolz | 24c | 839.82$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.56 | 204 | 45.6%93 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked TheMongolz | 27c | 833.33$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Spirit | 77c | 829.38$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.3 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed TheMongolz | 17c | 828.4$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.82 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed TheMongolz | 17c | 800.88$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.13 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked Spirit | 75c | 795.19$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.19 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked TheMongolz | 17c | 772$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.1 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Spirit | 76c | 734.28$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.56 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed TheMongolz | 26c | 720$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb205…1450backed TheMongolz | 15c | 711.62$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed TheMongolz | 28c | 711.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked TheMongolz | 26c | 709.67$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.51 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66f9…1e01backed TheMongolz | 11c | 700$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked TheMongolz | 26c | 699.95$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.99 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Spirit | 74c | 694.05$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.45 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Spirit | 73c | 686$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.22 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Spirit | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Spirit | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -32.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Spirit | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 204 | 58.3%119 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…a94abacked TheMongolz | 26c | 666$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.16 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz | 17c | 643.88$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Spirit | 75c | 643.8$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.95 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed TheMongolz | 13c | 635.7$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.64 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Spirit | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked TheMongolz | 25c | 615.3$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.83 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c0…ae83backed Spirit | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6633…dcfebacked TheMongolz | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -6.0wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Spirit | 75c | 598.29$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.57 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…0312backed TheMongolz | 14c | 592.09$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.71 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Spirit | 73c | 591.69$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.76 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.