TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc4e…c150

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
351
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 57 out of 100; worst Commodities at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT16856%94 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 168 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs SINQU Rehti - Map 1 Winnerbacked Passion Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$17.12
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$32.68
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.46
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$18.56
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.95
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$18.56
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.9
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$13.43
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$17.82
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+203%+$28.43
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.23
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
Showing 25 of 168 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT6749.3%33 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$72.1
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$15.55
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$66.51
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$37.36
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$40.2
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$63.89
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$4.39
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$19.94
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$26.54
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.01
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.01
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.01
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$20.93
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.37
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.67
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.42
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.02
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$13.43
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.4
Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$18.56
Kai Havertz: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.29
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$32.85
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+71%+$21.29
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$124.31
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.16
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.01
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.63
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+140.4%+$49.16
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.9
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.67
Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.42
Wimbledon ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.57
Wimbledon ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.29
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Sheltonbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$46.88
Wimbledon ATP: Patrick Kypson vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Mackenzie McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.02
Wimbledon ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
Wimbledon ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halysbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$5.86
Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.46
Wimbledon ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jaime Fariabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.17
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$18.56
Wimbledon ATP: Adrian Mannarino vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 20 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.52
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.94
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 3 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.69
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$67.24
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.26
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$67.37
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$53.56
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+80.1%+$58.48
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$33.42
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$31.65
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+115.2%+$167.3
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.14
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.35
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+34.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.27
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+210.7%+$250.51
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$27.81
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+209%+$41.81
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29%+$5.81
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$5.98
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.01
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.01
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.01
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+97.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.59
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.89
Capitals vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+434.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+434.2%+$129.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+205.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+205.5%+$22.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$6.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$2.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.