NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb489f2bbdea9b9ffaa9c6f627049b6b157c32cd0f89c6308c2023eba8b05cf1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Under | 57c | 68,044$38,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,740.47 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 36c | 22,255$7,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,338.34 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 52c | 9,184$4,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,408.62 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 9,121$4,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,539.32 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 56c | 8,036$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,535.71 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1788…0994backed Under | 48c | 6,351$3,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,026.79 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 39c | 6,000$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,661.83 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 51c | 5,948$3,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.25 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 5,488$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,697.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Over | 52c | 5,365$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.38 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 22c | 4,767$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,730.18 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Under | 49c | 4,168$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.11 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Under | 48c | 4,110$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe3…c693backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Over | 50c | 3,656$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.16 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under | 49c | 3,140$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.79 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…ff91backed Over | 51c | 2,734$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.71 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 48c | 2,555$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.4 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 51c | 2,551$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.98 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 2,442$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.02 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 44c | 1,300$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.14 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…c02abacked Under | 43c | 1,069$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.78 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 25c | 1,057$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.01 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 52c | 1,016$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.76 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 50c | 1,010$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.06 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 53c | 1,000$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 52c | 960$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.8 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 52c | 833.33$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 52c | 740.74$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…7800backed Under | 56c | 679.41$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.11 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 51c | 653.31$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.12 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 52c | 590$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.2 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 47c | 569$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.81 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 52c | 568.9$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.07 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 52c | 568.9$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.07 | 185 | 57.3%106 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 3c | 550$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 57c | 540.5$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.68 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Over | 51c | 513.61$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.16 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 491.79$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.25 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 52c | 485.66$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.53 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 52c | 465.14$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.6 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 51c | 390.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.58 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 324.78$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.9 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Under | 59c | 310$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d6cabacked Under | 80c | 294.64$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.52 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 6c | 269.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.67 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 15c | 250.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.07 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Over | 53c | 223.09$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.28 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 45c | 209.82$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.16 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Over | 50c | 199.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.02 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 52c | 186.45$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 52c | 185.16$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.42 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 50c | 181.77$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.86 | 259 | 58.3%151 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Over | 22c | 146.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 17c | 146$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.78 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89b…3c2bbacked Under | 77c | 144.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.49 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4e…c150backed Under | 57c | 130.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 47c | 115.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Over | 54c | 114.43$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 58c | 109.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.61 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Under | 42c | 107$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Under | 42c | 107$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 52c | 102.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…40b0backed Over | 34c | 90$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Under | 55c | 84.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 61c | 74.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 61c | 74.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Over | 52c | 73.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 61c | 66.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Over | 52c | 61.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 42c | 59.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 52c | 59.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Under | 65c | 58.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…e155backed Over | 52c | 57.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +9.1wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Under | 36c | 56.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e4…a9cfbacked Over | 39c | 56.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4d…7fdbbacked Over | 52c | 56.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6e…8b2dbacked Over | 54c | 55.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 44c | 53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 279 | 45.9%128 W · 151 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3534…a1b3backed Over | 27c | 49.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Over | 47c | 46.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Over | 53c | 45.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 33c | 44.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 53c | 41.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 53c | 41.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 34c | 41.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.