NBA · resolved market
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 20.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d4a7626266ee48abe0757f51d13d98c824b56941fe9e705e39271428936dff0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 46c | 2,386$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 55c | 1,757$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.67 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 52c | 1,478$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.78 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 49c | 999.96$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.98 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Yes | 50c | 540.08$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.84 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed No | 54c | 299.97$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Yes | 49c | 204.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 43.6%95 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 46c | 203.56$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.64 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…cb64backed No | 50c | 192.47$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.3 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cd…7db3backed Yes | 55c | 182$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 45c | 118.02$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.09 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Yes | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Yes | 53c | 94.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed No | 49c | 91.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 54c | 91.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…8b63backed Yes | 55c | 91.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 47c | 88.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked No | 51c | 83.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed No | 51c | 83.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed No | 48c | 79.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…1025backed Yes | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…b45fbacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…7b9dbacked Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked No | 45c | 68.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed No | 45c | 64.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…6701backed Yes | 46c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Yes | 49c | 50.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…4e6abacked Yes | 44c | 45.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked No | 59c | 42.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e14…ffa6backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…2332backed Yes | 52c | 38.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 30c | 36.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed No | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…6be6backed Yes | 53c | 33.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e59…bd35backed No | 51c | 33.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 46c | 29.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2308…e2dcbacked Yes | 46c | 28.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…bf9dbacked Yes | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked No | 54c | 21.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fce…6476backed No | 59c | 20.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd307…a3f5backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c18…79f4backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked No | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 20.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.