NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe15992616b41b4b781fc1a290f4a2c7657d68aecfdafd7168cab9e37c686c318
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,431,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,464,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,431,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 520 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 581,603$272,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272,837.56 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Spurs | 52c | 511,822$266,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245,114.12 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Spurs | 54c | 287,422$155,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132,214.25 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Timberwolves | 49c | 140,000$68,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,599.82 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Spurs | 53c | 89,328$47,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,984.23 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Spurs | 53c | 60,169$31,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,392.99 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Timberwolves | 46c | 55,500$25,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,530 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 55,000$26,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,519.96 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Spurs | 53c | 46,272$24,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,747.61 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Timberwolves | 46c | 43,845$20,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,168.7 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Timberwolves | 46c | 30,494$14,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,027.24 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Timberwolves | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 27,927$13,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,068.45 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Spurs | 52c | 25,774$13,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,290.33 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Timberwolves | 47c | 22,062$10,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,469.28 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Spurs | 51c | 21,096$10,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,351.97 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 53c | 18,371$9,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,618.17 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Spurs | 50c | 14,634$7,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,317 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Timberwolves | 47c | 13,000$6,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,110 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Timberwolves | 48c | 12,755$6,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,091.99 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Timberwolves | 48c | 12,463$5,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,957.86 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Timberwolves | 46c | 10,690$4,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,917.57 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Spurs | 56c | 10,660$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,660.21 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Timberwolves | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 10,247$4,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,913.58 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs | 54c | 10,047$5,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,621.42 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Timberwolves | 50c | 10,000$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,960 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 47c | 9,352$4,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,364.55 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs | 54c | 9,260$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.56 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…9cc6backed Timberwolves | 47c | 8,511$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Timberwolves | 47c | 8,422$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Timberwolves | 48c | 8,257$3,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,963.31 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Spurs | 53c | 8,100$4,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,807 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Timberwolves | 47c | 7,706$3,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,621.96 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…13c5backed Timberwolves | 47c | 7,517$3,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,533 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a9…4090backed Timberwolves | 51c | 7,441$3,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,824.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…89debacked Spurs | 53c | 7,300$3,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,431 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Timberwolves | 46c | 6,750$3,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,104.8 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Spurs | 54c | 6,499$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,998.95 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves | 41c | 6,439$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,637.14 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Timberwolves | 49c | 6,173$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.81 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Spurs | 54c | 5,980$3,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.77 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves | 47c | 5,455$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.29 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Spurs | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Spurs | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 49c | 4,824$2,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482.83 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Spurs | 51c | 4,782$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.43 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Spurs | 53c | 4,700$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.22 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Timberwolves | 47c | 4,548$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.53 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9e27backed Timberwolves | 46c | 4,204$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.62 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 4,174$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.86 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Timberwolves | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ca…b27abacked Timberwolves | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Timberwolves | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked Spurs | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.99 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d3…1144backed Spurs | 50c | 3,545$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8f…c2eabacked Timberwolves | 50c | 3,484$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Spurs | 52c | 3,410$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.21 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b4…6f5bbacked Spurs | 50c | 3,358$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Timberwolves | 47c | 3,255$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.4 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Timberwolves | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9445…5a2abacked Timberwolves | 50c | 3,042$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Spurs | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.87 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 2,840$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.66 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aea…8369backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,688$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Spurs | 53c | 2,624$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.04 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Spurs | 54c | 2,594$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.08 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,581$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.08 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f8…8ea0backed Spurs | 61c | 2,514$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.27 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,280$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…ac1abacked Spurs | 50c | 2,185$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Timberwolves | 46c | 2,165$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.1 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3af…aca1backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,103$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.67 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 2,060$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.2 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Spurs | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.98 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Spurs | 53c | 1,868$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.92 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,866$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Spurs | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…0d2cbacked Spurs | 54c | 1,813$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.96 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f55…6a09backed Spurs | 50c | 1,705$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Spurs | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.16 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…ea68backed Timberwolves | 46c | 1,617$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.82 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Spurs | 54c | 1,609$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.43 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc68d…e039backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,602$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…95b0backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9a…6987backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,579$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs | 52c | 1,553$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.27 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,524$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.39 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…b180backed Spurs | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Spurs | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Timberwolves | 46c | 1,492$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.19 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,376$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.72 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Spurs | 54c | 1,262$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.47 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Spurs | 53c | 1,141$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.25 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Spurs | 52c | 1,139$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.93 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Spurs | 51c | 1,103$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.36 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Spurs | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.