TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Timberwolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,431,909
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,464,157

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,431,909 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 520 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves47c581,603$272,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272,837.564,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Spurs52c511,822$266,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245,114.1215545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Spurs54c287,422$155,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132,214.258148.1%39 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Timberwolves49c140,000$68,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,599.824546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Spurs53c89,328$47,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,984.2387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Spurs53c60,169$31,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,392.9911136%40 W · 71 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Timberwolves46c55,500$25,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,53016039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Timberwolves48c55,000$26,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,519.9614538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Spurs53c46,272$24,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,747.6120545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Timberwolves46c43,845$20,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,168.729245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Timberwolves46c30,494$14,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,027.2437627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Timberwolves48c30,000$14,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,40017553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Timberwolves47c27,927$13,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,068.4555251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Spurs52c25,774$13,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,290.3369848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Timberwolves47c22,062$10,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,469.2818651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Spurs51c21,096$10,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,351.9710248%49 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs53c18,371$9,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,618.174,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Spurs50c14,634$7,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,3171,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12af…ff78backed Timberwolves47c13,000$6,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1103447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Timberwolves48c12,755$6,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,091.991,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed Timberwolves48c12,463$5,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,957.866243.5%27 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Timberwolves46c10,690$4,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,917.5728643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Spurs56c10,660$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,660.2142348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Timberwolves47c10,638$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005935.6%21 W · 38 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves48c10,247$4,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,913.582,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs54c10,047$5,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,621.421,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Timberwolves50c10,000$4,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,96032846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves47c9,352$4,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,364.558,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs54c9,260$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,259.5663746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs54c9,259$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,259.2690650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7245…9cc6backed Timberwolves47c8,511$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f36…2819backed Timberwolves47c8,422$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0005242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed Timberwolves48c8,257$3,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,963.31911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-78.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Spurs53c8,100$4,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,80712056.7%68 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Timberwolves47c7,706$3,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,621.9610949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2807…13c5backed Timberwolves47c7,517$3,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,533250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a9…4090backed Timberwolves51c7,441$3,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,824.041540%6 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7fd…89debacked Spurs53c7,300$3,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4312941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Timberwolves46c6,750$3,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,104.83,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Spurs54c6,499$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,998.9514556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves41c6,439$2,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,637.142,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Timberwolves49c6,173$3,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,024.8156646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Timberwolves46c6,000$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7601,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Spurs54c5,980$3,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,750.7732351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves47c5,455$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,561.291,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Spurs61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95014766%97 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Spurs53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35017247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spurs49c4,824$2,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,482.831,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Spurs51c4,782$2,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,336.4313441%55 W · 79 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Spurs53c4,700$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.2211249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Timberwolves47c4,548$2,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,137.5316946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d03…9e27backed Timberwolves46c4,204$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.628532.9%28 W · 57 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Timberwolves46c4,174$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.8624942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Timberwolves47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88011741.9%49 W · 68 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ca…b27abacked Timberwolves47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8802147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Timberwolves47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8801030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb64f…0d2abacked Spurs52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.994856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42d3…1144backed Spurs50c3,545$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.62560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d8f…c2eabacked Timberwolves50c3,484$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,742.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Spurs52c3,410$1,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.2116335.6%58 W · 105 L-12.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5b4…6f5bbacked Spurs50c3,358$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.22633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Timberwolves47c3,255$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.427645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Timberwolves48c3,125$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9445…5a2abacked Timberwolves50c3,042$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.76616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick57cpaid-78.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Spurs52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.8769149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Timberwolves47c2,840$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.6662051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aea…8369backed Timberwolves50c2,688$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.2120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Spurs53c2,624$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.0421957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Spurs54c2,594$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.0866248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bc5…4626backed Timberwolves47c2,581$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.084841.7%20 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72f8…8ea0backed Spurs61c2,514$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.271258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed Timberwolves50c2,280$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1409345.2%42 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c38…ac1abacked Spurs50c2,185$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.35560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Timberwolves46c2,165$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.13951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3af…aca1backed Timberwolves49c2,103$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.672343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Timberwolves47c2,060$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.28451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Spurs52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.9856453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Spurs53c1,868$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.925158.8%30 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Timberwolves47c1,866$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87718343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Spurs55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.1836450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Spurs54c1,813$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.967054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f55…6a09backed Spurs50c1,705$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Spurs52c1,667$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.1664651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…ea68backed Timberwolves46c1,617$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.824037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Spurs54c1,609$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.4369049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc68d…e039backed Timberwolves47c1,602$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7531040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8d…95b0backed Timberwolves50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c9a…6987backed Timberwolves50c1,579$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.73450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs52c1,553$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.272,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Timberwolves47c1,524$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.3922752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Spurs54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69011153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Spurs53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70548054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Timberwolves46c1,492$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.1952150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Timberwolves47c1,376$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.7212646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Spurs54c1,262$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.471,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Timberwolves47c1,200$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56433945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Spurs53c1,141$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.2519741.6%82 W · 115 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Spurs52c1,139$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.9365045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Spurs51c1,103$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.3624247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Spurs53c1,100$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51710650%53 W · 53 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.