NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c13531d73b94cdf25657235c9d339caa2d032451947e4fc49141dd03f9d481a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 47c | 491.41$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.25 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed Under | 53c | 432.58$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.93 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -9.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacab…4e20backed Over | 53c | 316.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 53c | 218.87$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 47c | 218.77$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.82 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 42.9%57 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 52c | 80.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…1faebacked Under | 53c | 53.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Under | 52c | 48.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 55c | 47.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…7f8fbacked Over | 59c | 43.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…56f3backed Under | 50c | 41.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65fc…c072backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed Over | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6795…4a4cbacked Over | 53c | 32.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 36c | 29.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 26.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…15b8backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.