NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x819d5841fa48882a201df20ed96bb505d83605d8debb62ae047678a32188748a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $463,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $498,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $463,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 390 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Under | 71c | 43,332$30,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,803.15 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 79c | 31,911$25,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,115.74 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 26c | 28,648$7,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,236.79 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Under | 1c | 22,671$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.71 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 53c | 21,439$11,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,976.57 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Under | 57c | 19,118$10,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,822.78 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 78c | 16,307$12,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,744.4 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 41c | 15,200$6,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,017.71 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 14,635$7,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,317.5 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 56c | 12,841$7,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,652.09 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 25c | 12,603$3,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,401.5 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,879.96 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 11,248$5,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,149.85 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Under | 48c | 9,464$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 29c | 8,594$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,135.71 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 43c | 7,849$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 48c | 7,546$3,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,905.03 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 7,509$3,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,585.51 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Under | 15c | 6,059$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.27 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 45c | 5,718$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,573.3 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Over | 58c | 5,649$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.65 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 54c | 5,602$3,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.87 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over | 55c | 5,210$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.5 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.97 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Over | 41c | 4,878$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.05 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 4,865$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.51 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Under | 45c | 4,800$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Under | 63c | 4,757$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 79c | 4,200$3,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Under | 47c | 3,935$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.85 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 69c | 3,694$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.2 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5989…12a3backed Over | 23c | 3,488$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 3,365$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.29 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 39c | 3,052$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.65 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ca…b27abacked Over | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Over | 52c | 2,722$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.47 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 37c | 2,625$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.95 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…13c5backed Over | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Over | 18c | 2,399$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.17 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed Over | 44c | 2,238$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.06 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 54c | 2,134$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.59 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Over | 54c | 2,048$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.08 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Under | 48c | 2,033$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 47c | 1,979$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.49 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 59c | 1,956$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.38 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 38c | 1,955$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.39 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…bc01backed Under | 52c | 1,767$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.15 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 33c | 1,638$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.56 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Under | 48c | 1,562$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.94 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 58c | 1,130$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.49 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Over | 55c | 1,100$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.99 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Over | 53c | 1,081$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.24 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 43c | 1,056$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.06 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 62c | 1,037$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.8 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.99 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 46c | 999.97$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Over | 68c | 989.05$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.2 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 31c | 983$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.88 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 45c | 964.51$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.61 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Over | 15c | 964.35$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.11 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2047…9240backed Over | 52c | 960$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.8 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 55c | 916.4$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.17 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 44c | 907.78$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.78 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 49c | 840$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.4 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…e019backed Over | 50c | 812.18$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +127.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x920e…7873backed Under | 74c | 790.07$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.98 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Under | 79c | 767.34$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.34 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Under | 45c | 730.12$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.99 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 48c | 700.31$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.15 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 34c | 686.74$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.27 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Over | 34c | 670.08$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.01 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over | 52c | 667$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.08 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Over | 54c | 635.49$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.43 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 56c | 608.96$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.97 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ef…1d4cbacked Over | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc246…563cbacked Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.38per pick | 45cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 50c | 598$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.3 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 29c | 588.98$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.01 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Under | 62c | 568.09$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Over | 56c | 564.39$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.33 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 72c | 556.4$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 27c | 545.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.53 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…6f0cbacked Under | 53c | 541.4$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.94 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d21…f0e5backed Over | 43c | 532.88$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 29c | 514.35$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.35 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Under | 48c | 510.9$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.42 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -16.2wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 506.01$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Under | 44c | 499.97$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…5503backed Under | 39c | 486.46$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 482.59$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.34 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Over | 52c | 482.04$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.04 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 48c | 465$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.69 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…2869backed Over | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 174 | 59.2%103 W · 71 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…1422backed Over | 61c | 444.99$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.77 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Under | 41c | 443.81$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.98 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…7800backed Under | 72c | 433.44$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.04 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.