NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d5b6c38d282a3139a64eaace271235887af2c6a870048e4e96998cf6cbe3d64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $634,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $670,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $634,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 405 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Spurs | 48c | 124,583$60,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,484.39 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Spurs | 49c | 120,094$59,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,850.39 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 100,001$50,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000.5 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Timberwolves | 51c | 62,000$31,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,620 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 38,000$19,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,760 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 25,769$12,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,884.4 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Spurs | 50c | 25,754$12,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,876.81 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 25,489$13,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,199.48 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…a222backed Timberwolves | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Timberwolves | 42c | 13,668$5,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,722 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs | 50c | 13,634$6,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,817.21 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 58c | 13,088$7,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,550.46 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Timberwolves | 9c | 12,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.99 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39cf…f964backed Timberwolves | 40c | 10,685$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Timberwolves | 23c | 10,646$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Spurs | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.98 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 49c | 9,511$4,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,870.45 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Spurs | 48c | 8,871$4,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,595.63 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Timberwolves | 49c | 8,662$4,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,252.52 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b30…8ea8backed Timberwolves | 51c | 8,371$4,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,269.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Timberwolves | 50c | 8,219$4,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,109.55 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Spurs | 50c | 8,073$4,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,036.73 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Spurs | 50c | 7,600$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Spurs | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 49c | 6,247$3,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,188.22 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs | 48c | 6,142$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,193.69 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ec9ebacked Timberwolves | 52c | 6,140$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Timberwolves | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Timberwolves | 32c | 5,999$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.95 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Spurs | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.16 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spurs | 74c | 4,704$3,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.8 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Timberwolves | 51c | 4,400$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Timberwolves | 51c | 4,050$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.34 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Spurs | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Spurs | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Spurs | 75c | 3,988$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.4 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Timberwolves | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Timberwolves | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Spurs | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf003…08cdbacked Spurs | 50c | 3,400$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Timberwolves | 34c | 3,220$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.04 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…eb1abacked Timberwolves | 52c | 3,180$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.59 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Spurs | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Timberwolves | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Spurs | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Spurs | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.99 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Timberwolves | 30c | 2,869$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.7 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…95b0backed Timberwolves | 52c | 2,692$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…ad24backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,430$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.23 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Spurs | 48c | 2,200$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.64 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Timberwolves | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Spurs | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,031$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.8 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…8322backed Timberwolves | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Spurs | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dc…eaa8backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,920$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.4 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Spurs | 50c | 1,746$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.71 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs | 69c | 1,590$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.15 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 48c | 1,540$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.68 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97c…99e8backed Timberwolves | 44c | 1,488$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb845…ca23backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,456$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.32 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Spurs | 48c | 1,388$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.19 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,364$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.44 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs | 48c | 1,293$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.47 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Spurs | 48c | 1,199$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.4 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…0d2cbacked Spurs | 49c | 1,133$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.65 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Spurs | 48c | 1,121$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.53 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 48c | 1,105$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.18 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Timberwolves | 43c | 1,104$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.55 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8451backed Spurs | 76c | 1,030$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.06 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…44a6backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,019$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Spurs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Spurs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Spurs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 143 | 34.3%49 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Spurs | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Spurs | 50c | 996.8$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.4 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Spurs | 50c | 984.56$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.28 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b66…02edbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 970$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.4 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…2e90backed Timberwolves | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…fcc9backed Timberwolves | 52c | 951.92$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Timberwolves | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Timberwolves | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Timberwolves | 11c | 900.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.11 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…c74dbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 827.13$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc68d…e039backed Timberwolves | 52c | 821.15$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Timberwolves | 53c | 800$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.33 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.