TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$191,738
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$181,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,738 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb652…2db4backed Under51c81,625$41,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,621.7137627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over49c67,827$33,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,642.4269848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Under52c10,200$5,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,303.82437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over49c9,676$4,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,958.0355251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c85…94a4backed Over50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0003345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00014251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0325…01bcbacked Under46c5,007$2,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,305.62661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under34c4,669$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.11,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over6c4,618$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,336.5227937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over54c4,535$2,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,086.1411946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Under17c4,200$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.0536243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over49c3,762$1,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.6218749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over49c3,000$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.0865045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under39c2,582$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c2,582$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.276,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…c02abacked Over25c2,527$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.755540%22 W · 33 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+54.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under32c2,500$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80520744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over17c2,134$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.1876653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8238946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Under50c2,001$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.635257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over45c1,896$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.5193148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Over49c1,820$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.4413355.6%74 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f6…6d85backed Under60c1,664$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015252%79 W · 73 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c1,458$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.162,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over49c1,429$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.5721943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over33c1,379$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.032,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b67…f13cbacked Under65c1,377$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9005457.4%31 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over37c1,325$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.8430551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over49c1,298$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.1362051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over37c1,206$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.0746959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x82e5…7e2fbacked Under80c1,200$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9601478.6%11 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Under51c1,088$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55521957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Under49c900$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44173051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under50c850.84$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.4266352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Under38c839.9$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.714640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over49c800.86$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.441,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9956…44e0backed Under51c716.08$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.21566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Under48c629.05$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.1315246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30625155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3006031.7%19 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over51c570.27$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2811,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Over50c520$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26015651.9%81 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Under50c518.28$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.6428056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x91dd…2730backed Over71c516.33$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.742842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c94…f9f4backed Under66c506.4$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.828043.8%35 W · 45 L-9.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-23%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under51c505.88$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2583432.4%11 W · 23 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Over8c503.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.549618.8%18 W · 78 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25032450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2508547.1%40 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under51c422$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.2291050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under75c400$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Under25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007432.4%24 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3424…8b87backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73ff…0facbacked Under52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x901f…74e9backed Under50c382.03$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.0210046%46 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1092…9cfabacked Under67c357.2$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2405257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Over50c335$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.57452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under58c330$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.424955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over35c329.33$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.2436051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Under50c299.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5919937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Over11c298.61$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.549046.7%42 W · 48 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Under51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aae…16e6backed Over51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1212458.9%73 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Over19c289.37$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.3918444.6%82 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe400…edc4backed Over45c279.61$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+74.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under50c275.19$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.643148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under43c250.1$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.71,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under49c246.31$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6926745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ae7…1eebbacked Over50c231.64$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.821050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc059…a1edbacked Under51c229.41$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11712254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018534.1%63 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over33c212.45$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.478639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over50c212$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10634850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008138.3%31 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007857.7%45 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under60c203.91$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7114264.8%92 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26eb…c940backed Under47c202.58$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.12128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ec…0f12backed Over25c200.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+100.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7304…7ab3backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007557.3%43 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007643.4%33 W · 43 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa55…e024backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032957.4%189 W · 140 L+18.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd032…5136backed Under76c199.99$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9911450.9%58 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c199.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.621,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked Under51c198.73$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.352030%6 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-37.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over50c198.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3338432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd312…4a63backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under50c192.84$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.491,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Under33c187.79$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6214153.9%76 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55fb…a3acbacked Under64c185.03$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.222528%7 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Under66c168.94$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1124057.5%23 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over31c168.19$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3280440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c165.98$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9918850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Over17c155.18$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.821046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over44c150$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6561638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over33c149.32$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over50c148.28$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1489850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Over46c145$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.337665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.