TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91dd…2730

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT2842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.51
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$120
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$300
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.19
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$84
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.85
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$690
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.2
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$148
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$105
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$390
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$112.75
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.8
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+32%+$16.71
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$68.62
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.63
Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.59
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$149.74
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+796.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-67.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.02
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.2
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$134
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$234.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$95.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Xinyu Wang vs Alexandra Ealabacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.