NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5bded7051a28192fc06b181bc7722daa1e57a17e29eac837c771e536f477075
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $853,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $911,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $853,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 436 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 50c | 281,092$140,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140,953.49 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 220,970$110,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,891.15 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 51c | 162,958$82,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,970.31 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Over | 50c | 43,873$21,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,936.48 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 51c | 43,071$21,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,966.17 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 49c | 29,196$14,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,889.96 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 51c | 25,000$12,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,749.9 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 50c | 17,391$8,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,713.03 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…3c97backed Over | 55c | 17,312$9,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,824.98 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 16,623$8,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,290.93 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 13,144$6,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,727.27 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc787…64e8backed Over | 49c | 13,065$6,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,663.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 11,070$5,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,653.74 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Over | 50c | 10,560$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,280 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,059.97 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162b…3d49backed Over | 49c | 8,547$4,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,358.94 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Over | 49c | 8,031$3,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,095.58 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 8,007$3,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,997.5 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 24c | 6,957$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,275.46 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 50c | 6,560$3,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,309.93 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Under | 76c | 6,144$4,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,648.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 67cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Over | 49c | 6,093$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.54 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…ff91backed Over | 49c | 6,040$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.46 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 50c | 5,858$2,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.49 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Over | 49c | 5,714$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,914.29 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…0b30backed Over | 49c | 5,659$2,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,885.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46a2…2788backed Over | 49c | 5,600$2,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 49c | 5,580$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,845.59 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Over | 49c | 5,565$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.05 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 49c | 5,393$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.29 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 61c | 5,067$3,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.18 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 48c | 5,000$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…c3c7backed Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.98 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Over | 50c | 4,355$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.74 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Over | 49c | 4,197$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.43 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Over | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…af0dbacked Over | 49c | 4,029$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…e587backed Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…d98bbacked Over | 49c | 3,949$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Over | 49c | 3,900$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 3,517$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.04 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 49c | 3,418$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.84 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff93…1239backed Over | 49c | 3,387$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 39c | 3,188$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.68 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 46c | 3,060$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.59 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +217.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Over | 50c | 3,046$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.84 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.98 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Over | 49c | 2,996$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.92 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Over | 50c | 2,946$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.2 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a9…857abacked Over | 49c | 2,857$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…7e7abacked Over | 49c | 2,800$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 2,652$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.79 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c49…03d0backed Over | 49c | 2,583$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 2,565$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.55 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Under | 49c | 2,486$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.32 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Over | 49c | 2,341$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.93 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 49c | 2,269$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.14 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Over | 50c | 2,051$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.5 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Over | 11c | 2,043$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.35 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.02 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…e4bfbacked Over | 45c | 2,010$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.87 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4a…f216backed Over | 49c | 1,965$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Over | 49c | 1,960$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.6 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 49c | 1,833$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.65 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Over | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 50c | 1,788$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.2 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 50c | 1,614$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.09 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.98 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 1,413$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.07 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 50c | 1,349$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.99 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 65c | 1,321$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.04 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 44c | 1,300$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.99 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a54…7c49backed Over | 50c | 1,271$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.41 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 41c | 1,229$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.08 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Under | 55c | 1,219$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.65 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99eb…0464backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Over | 49c | 1,196$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.92 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 1,188$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.92 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…487dbacked Under | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2976…d54abacked Over | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 31cpaid | +739.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 49c | 1,081$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.31 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Over | 43c | 1,062$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.39 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 50c | 1,036$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.97 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 51c | 1,005$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.45 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Lakers won
- Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Lakers won
- Thunder vs. LakersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 215.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.