NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf853252a28594900a3f602e182e9070afa1ae7c9920709f414189dd1dfb76135
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Thunder, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $546,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $572,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $546,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Thunder | 47c | 83,744$39,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,472.91 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Lakers | 49c | 76,542$37,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,836.59 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Lakers | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 50c | 44,506$22,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,253.03 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Lakers | 50c | 44,000$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,000 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder | 50c | 41,538$20,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,769.09 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 51c | 29,412$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…f7acbacked Thunder | 0c | 26,246$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +10.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lakers | 57c | 20,982$11,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,003.46 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…4388backed Thunder | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 50c | 17,109$8,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,522.91 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Thunder | 46c | 17,022$7,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,837.45 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Thunder | 50c | 16,923$8,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,485.86 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Lakers | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Lakers | 57c | 10,777$6,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,641.44 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Lakers | 50c | 10,181$5,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,084.85 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 50c | 10,068$5,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,063.96 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 52c | 9,849$5,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,760 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Thunder | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,590 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked Lakers | 50c | 7,587$3,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,793.7 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 46c | 7,298$3,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,365.03 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 49c | 7,027$3,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,443.2 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Lakers | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Lakers | 50c | 6,612$3,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,286.33 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Thunder | 51c | 5,874$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Lakers | 50c | 5,856$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,927.99 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Lakers | 51c | 5,555$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.95 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Lakers | 57c | 5,078$2,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.51 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Lakers | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d7…bb10backed Thunder | 51c | 4,952$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 47c | 4,657$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.4 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Lakers | 51c | 3,890$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.2 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Thunder | 53c | 2,727$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.28 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Thunder | 45c | 2,676$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.26 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Lakers | 58c | 2,658$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.61 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Lakers | 49c | 2,620$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.99 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Lakers | 51c | 2,551$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.14 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Lakers | 48c | 2,500$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…ffbebacked Lakers | 57c | 2,299$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 49c | 2,247$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.97 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Thunder | 45c | 2,138$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.17 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Lakers | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…e298backed Lakers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Lakers | 50c | 2,000$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.72 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Lakers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.93 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Lakers | 50c | 1,969$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.4 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Lakers | 50c | 1,907$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.71 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +35%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Lakers | 49c | 1,825$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.59 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Lakers | 50c | 1,815$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.75 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…ad24backed Lakers | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lakers | 50c | 1,508$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.55 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Thunder | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Lakers | 45c | 1,259$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.29 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Lakers | 51c | 1,257$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.88 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Lakers | 52c | 1,252$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.96 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed Lakers | 79c | 1,250$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Thunder | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Thunder | 50c | 1,163$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.3 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Lakers | 48c | 1,148$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.98 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2606…aaddbacked Thunder | 51c | 1,106$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.06 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Lakers | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Thunder | 51c | 1,096$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.57 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Thunder | 13c | 1,085$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.01 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Lakers | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Lakers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Lakers | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Lakers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Thunder | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked Thunder | 50c | 996.24$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.12 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Thunder | 7c | 965.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Thunder | 8c | 943.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lakers | 49c | 921.55$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Lakers | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Lakers | 59c | 847.81$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.71 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Lakers | 50c | 825.96$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.99 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Lakers | 49c | 779.61$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.6 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…e0fdbacked Thunder | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Lakers | 50c | 725.96$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.16 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked Lakers | 55c | 692.29$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.06 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Lakers | 65c | 685.2$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.88 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Lakers | 57c | 664.31$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.99 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ea…b955backed Thunder | 3c | 625$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Lakers | 50c | 600.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.49 | 384 | 32.6%125 W · 259 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Lakers | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Lakers | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Lakers | 51c | 596.77$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.42 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Thunder | 38c | 544.95$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.02 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…f3fdbacked Thunder | 46c | 543.9$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Lakers | 54c | 543.76$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.13 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Lakers | 63c | 539.32$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.2 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Lakers | 56c | 535.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.89 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Thunder | 40c | 525.04$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.18 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…efc3backed Thunder | 44c | 516.61$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.31 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Lakers | 55c | 513.67$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.24 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Lakers | 51c | 500$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Lakers | 51c | 447.16$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.16 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6947…d21bbacked Lakers | 58c | 420.38$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Lakers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Lakers won
- Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Lakers won
- Thunder vs. LakersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 215.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.