NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5602006d117a173a52f629d51bf3e0a4b6df8fbd7ea7125342a717957b310cfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Thunder, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $526,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $525,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $526,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Lakers | 46c | 160,000$73,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,399.81 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Thunder | 54c | 90,017$48,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,675 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Lakers | 46c | 69,459$32,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,389.86 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 54c | 66,556$35,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,940.16 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Thunder | 51c | 57,155$29,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,361.73 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 54c | 27,778$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Lakers | 53c | 16,797$8,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,894.63 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Thunder | 52c | 16,000$8,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,320 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Lakers | 49c | 15,695$7,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,004.45 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Thunder | 51c | 14,308$7,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,323.18 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Thunder | 54c | 12,417$6,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,705.04 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 39c | 11,957$4,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,655.62 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Lakers | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.67 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Thunder | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 48c | 9,048$4,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,717.7 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Lakers | 46c | 8,238$3,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,461.01 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Lakers | 48c | 7,838$3,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,075.85 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Lakers | 48c | 7,236$3,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,762.69 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Lakers | 48c | 6,700$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,484 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Lakers | 47c | 6,124$2,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,272.79 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Thunder | 7c | 6,030$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.52 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Lakers | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.99 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Thunder | 55c | 5,333$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,932.91 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1103…bb2fbacked Lakers | 37c | 4,420$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,784.86 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Thunder | 54c | 4,296$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.97 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Lakers | 39c | 4,019$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.67 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Lakers | 50c | 4,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Lakers | 48c | 3,908$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.12 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 47c | 3,606$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.6 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Lakers | 48c | 3,233$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.16 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Thunder | 55c | 3,135$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.21 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Lakers | 48c | 3,126$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.65 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Thunder | 52c | 3,032$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Thunder | 49c | 3,013$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.66 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Thunder | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Lakers | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Thunder | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder | 54c | 2,646$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.52 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Lakers | 49c | 2,422$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.45 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Lakers | 46c | 2,357$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.89 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…bfc2backed Thunder | 56c | 2,250$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Lakers | 50c | 2,189$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.44 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fd…ca86backed Lakers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Lakers | 46c | 2,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.97 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Thunder | 7c | 1,865$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.54 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Thunder | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked Lakers | 57c | 1,700$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Thunder | 9c | 1,657$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.08 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Lakers | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Lakers | 47c | 1,400$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.55 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Lakers | 44c | 1,360$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.95 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Lakers | 49c | 1,327$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.53 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Thunder | 53c | 1,325$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.3 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Thunder | 54c | 1,313$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.31 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…4b7dbacked Lakers | 39c | 1,217$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.92 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Lakers | 49c | 1,163$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.24 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Lakers | 52c | 1,113$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.24 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked Thunder | 55c | 1,113$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Thunder | 54c | 1,044$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.92 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Thunder | 53c | 1,041$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.27 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Thunder | 54c | 1,005$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.69 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Thunder | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Thunder | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Thunder | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Thunder | 50c | 999.62$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.81 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Thunder | 19c | 999.61$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.93 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Thunder | 41c | 999.59$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.83 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Lakers | 47c | 979$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.87 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Lakers | 49c | 949.28$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.61 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Lakers | 70c | 822.55$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.18 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Thunder | 54c | 815.13$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.36 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Lakers | 46c | 777$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.58 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Thunder | 52c | 735.12$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.55 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Thunder | 50c | 735.1$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Lakers | 42c | 700$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x716e…bcc2backed Lakers | 50c | 660$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Thunder | 54c | 576.12$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.1 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder | 50c | 567.39$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.73 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Lakers | 48c | 550$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Lakers | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Lakers | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Thunder | 53c | 500.79$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.3 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lakers | 52c | 492.86$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.57 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Thunder | 17c | 490.26$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.26 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked Lakers | 46c | 471.74$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.74 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Thunder | 54c | 461.02$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.06 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lakers | 50c | 459.48$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.45 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Thunder | 54c | 458.55$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.73 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Thunder | 54c | 448.25$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.16 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Thunder | 54c | 444.6$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.08 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Thunder | 53c | 439.15$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.59 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…8aa2backed Lakers | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked Thunder | 59c | 426.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Thunder | 54c | 401.83$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 52c | 401.83$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.94 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Thunder | 57c | 399.99$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.99 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Lakers | 47c | 388.75$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.56 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Lakers won
- Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Lakers won
- Thunder vs. LakersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 215.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.