TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,744
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,744

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,744 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xedf7…8f79backed No56c932.55$523 inWon+$410.041,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes45c523.64$236 inLost-$235.6495651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab8c…85fbbacked Yes42c238.1$100 inLost-$1002254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes45c219.87$100 inLost-$10030055.7%167 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No48c208.56$101 inWon+$107.4590863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb8dd…5672backed Yes52c193.95$100 inLost-$1002951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No54c130.61$71 inWon+$60.082,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Yes47c113.72$54 inLost-$53.5717547.4%83 W · 92 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No52c108.88$57 inWon+$52.0985449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No55c100$55 inWon+$4543752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce4b…3c4fbacked Yes42c71.43$30 inLost-$301428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ef6…38b5backed Yes45c69.54$31 inLost-$31.291526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1a7…40f7backed No55c54.54$30 inWon+$24.543770.3%26 W · 11 L+7.0wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+40.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf2fc…1e75backed Yes47c53.19$25 inLost-$251145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9b09…3be1backed Yes46c31.74$15 inLost-$14.531258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No55c31.31$17 inWon+$14.0333356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No56c28$16 inWon+$12.3226755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.