NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04668827c577591f9e4a44a25239d31d8ede08b3d5a9d16d35839ee7b61e5c5a

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Lakersof Thunder, Lakers
Resolved: May 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $632,515
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $642,611

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $632,515 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 496 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Lakers	45c	49,580$22,523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,056.38	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Thunder	57c	41,875$24,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,000	174	41.4%72 W · 102 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Thunder	53c	39,193$20,711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,710.52	207	58%120 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Thunder	55c	30,409$16,818 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,818.15	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Thunder	41c	21,599$8,806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,806.42	898	53.1%477 W · 421 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33fb…6201backed Lakers	47c	20,368$9,573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,795.09	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x535c…96babacked Thunder	53c	17,101$9,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,063.51	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	59cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Lakers	44c	15,955$6,978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,977.15	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Thunder	63c	14,538$9,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,109.79	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc787…64e8backed Lakers	47c	13,333$6,267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,066.49	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Lakers	45c	13,073$5,922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,151.84	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Thunder	46c	12,586$5,784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,784.2	112	49.1%55 W · 57 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Thunder	60c	12,538$7,585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,585.3	203	52.7%107 W · 96 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Lakers	44c	12,407$5,461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,945.94	186	51.1%95 W · 91 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Thunder	54c	11,513$6,179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,178.68	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Lakers	71c	11,500$8,169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,330.87	192	46.4%89 W · 103 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4842…4024backed Lakers	47c	11,262$5,293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,968.7	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Thunder	48c	10,999$5,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,329.6	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	+4.2wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Lakers	41c	10,870$4,458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,412.22	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Thunder	46c	9,518$4,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,343.8	175	53.7%94 W · 81 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Thunder	54c	9,261$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	50	36%18 W · 32 L	-5.2wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Lakers	46c	8,969$4,171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,798.67	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Lakers	44c	8,955$3,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,014.8	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Lakers	44c	8,950$3,938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,012	249	42.2%105 W · 144 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Thunder	53c	8,333$4,417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,416.54	145	38.6%56 W · 89 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed Thunder	65c	8,000$5,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,200	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+39.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Lakers	45c	8,000$3,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,400	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+4.3wins	+0.17per pick	47cpaid	+71.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc067…25afbacked Lakers	47c	7,757$3,646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,111.21	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Lakers	47c	7,403$3,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,952.31	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Lakers	44c	7,160$3,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,009.6	316	44.6%141 W · 175 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Thunder	52c	6,890$3,594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,594.04	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder	56c	6,818$3,851 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,850.73	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Thunder	53c	6,366$3,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,350	356	50%178 W · 178 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Lakers	47c	6,266$2,914 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,352.28	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Thunder	1c	6,066$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.87	464	26.1%121 W · 343 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Thunder	57c	5,982$3,439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,439.28	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Lakers	53c	5,722$3,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,709.05	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Thunder	60c	5,617$3,391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,391.06	241	51.9%125 W · 116 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe193…cc85backed Thunder	53c	5,555$2,944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,944.15	64	57.8%37 W · 27 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Lakers	48c	5,388$2,586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,801.76	144	41%59 W · 85 L	-12.8wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Lakers	47c	5,213$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,762.77	183	49.2%90 W · 93 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0bbd…5c97backed Thunder	54c	4,456$2,406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,406	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Lakers	47c	4,255$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,255.32	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Lakers	43c	3,946$1,697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,249.11	200	57%114 W · 86 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Thunder	5c	3,913$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	110	34.5%38 W · 72 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Thunder	59c	3,766$2,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,222	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb36e…dab1backed Thunder	53c	3,700$1,961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,961	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Thunder	57c	3,688$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100	432	69.2%299 W · 133 L	+10.7wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Lakers	51c	3,449$1,758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,691.05	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Lakers	51c	3,449$1,758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,691.05	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Thunder	66c	3,046$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Thunder	56c	3,000$1,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,680	199	37.2%74 W · 125 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Thunder	53c	3,000$1,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,590	442	52.3%231 W · 211 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Lakers	44c	2,967$1,293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,674.34	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Lakers	63c	2,861$1,805 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,055.68	428	42.5%182 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Thunder	71c	2,806$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	80	61.3%49 W · 31 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers	47c	2,765$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,465.69	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Thunder	62c	2,613$1,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,620.29	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Lakers	47c	2,574$1,210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,364.23	122	40.2%49 W · 73 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers	46c	2,500$1,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,360	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Thunder	60c	2,450$1,473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,473.02	478	56.5%270 W · 208 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Lakers	44c	2,437$1,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,366.05	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Lakers	47c	2,350$1,104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,245.49	304	48.4%147 W · 157 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Lakers	40c	2,070$836 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,233.2	616	38.5%237 W · 379 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Thunder	43c	2,000$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850	629	48.6%306 W · 323 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Thunder	57c	2,000$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,140	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+2.7wins	+0.14per pick	54cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x73ff…0facbacked Thunder	52c	1,912$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Thunder	53c	1,887$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.11	125	42.4%53 W · 72 L	-11.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Thunder	24c	1,871$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	524	61.6%323 W · 201 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Lakers	47c	1,862$868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$993.91	492	49.8%245 W · 247 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0c3…0230backed Thunder	53c	1,861$986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$986.08	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1d0…5a98backed Thunder	54c	1,852$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca28…49debacked Thunder	54c	1,826$986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$986.1	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8590…07adbacked Thunder	11c	1,818$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Lakers	41c	1,800$741 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,059	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Thunder	56c	1,790$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder	58c	1,786$1,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,035.88	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fc3…5827backed Thunder	57c	1,746$987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$986.88	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Thunder	58c	1,739$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	-8.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Lakers	45c	1,708$762 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$945.79	88	48.9%43 W · 45 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4355…c5d4backed Thunder	59c	1,704$1,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,005	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-2.7wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc3b…f1b2backed Thunder	54c	1,663$898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$898.13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8d…95b0backed Thunder	55c	1,618$885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$885	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Lakers	42c	1,597$665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$932.22	663	52.6%349 W · 314 L	+30.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Thunder	55c	1,582$878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$877.75	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Lakers	65c	1,547$1,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$539.09	218	48.2%105 W · 113 L	+11.0wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Lakers	47c	1,489$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$789.17	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Lakers	51c	1,325$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$655.67	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Thunder	52c	1,323$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$684.67	117	57.3%67 W · 50 L	+9.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2047…9240backed Thunder	54c	1,296$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	23	69.6%16 W · 7 L	+3.9wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Thunder	12c	1,289$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.69	360	51.7%186 W · 174 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Thunder	32c	1,230$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.8	58	29.3%17 W · 41 L	-3.9wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Lakers	58c	1,220$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.54	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Lakers	46c	1,200$552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$648	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+4.2wins	+0.20per pick	51cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed Thunder	53c	1,190$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630.85	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Thunder	52c	1,166$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610.83	169	59.8%101 W · 68 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Lakers	44c	1,138$501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$637.1	94	47.9%45 W · 49 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Lakers	39c	1,126$445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$681.52	469	59.1%277 W · 192 L	+28.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Thunder	62c	1,113$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690.05	956	51.5%492 W · 464 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Thunder	47c	1,097$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	275	49.5%136 W · 139 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Lakers won
Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 17.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Deandre Ayton: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 9.5No won
Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5No won
LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Lakers won
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Lakers won
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Lakers won
Thunder vs. LakersThunder won
Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5Over won
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5Over won
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5Over won
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 215.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event