TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x14fe…e0fd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT3259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$540
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$350
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$379.17
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$758.33
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$336.27
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$364.49
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$364.29
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$348.11
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$323.08
76ers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 109.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$350
1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$350
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$679Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$679
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$681Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$680.68
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$603.25
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$679
Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 105.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$679Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+99%+$672.59
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$488.8
Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$649
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$327.6
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$451.2
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$381.8
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$508.8
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$576.8
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,100
England vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$451
England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.16
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$528.26
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$462.8
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.9
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
All 21 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$684.44
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$700
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlético San Luis vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$699Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$698.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.