Asian League · resolved market
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d5b838725aa03d0c8a1b2914e3d9da08290d42311f37897430d4fbbed502d83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Over | 56c | 8,211$4,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,575.15 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 3,855$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.35 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 2,429$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.11 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 45c | 1,674$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.09 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 1,551$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.97 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 16c | 1,487$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.95 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…e0fdbacked Over | 48c | 1,432$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 25c | 943.92$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.98 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 25c | 752$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.05 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 67c | 731.49$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.39 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 79c | 624.94$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.24 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 44c | 557.62$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.84 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 44c | 455.92$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.95 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Over | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Over | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 351.07$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.78 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 52c | 211.23$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.15 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…26d7backed Over | 54c | 180.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 49c | 172.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Under | 47c | 164.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.34 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 44c | 153.81$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.54 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 46c | 132.29$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 110$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 40c | 100.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 45c | 99.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.64 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…aaeebacked Over | 61c | 94.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 47c | 81.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…bea0backed Over | 47c | 78.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 25c | 76.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 51c | 64.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 56c | 62.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 56c | 60.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 45c | 47.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 46c | 46.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…3df3backed Under | 46c | 44.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Under | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Over | 61c | 40.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Under | 43c | 39.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…fa38backed Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 32c | 34.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…ed18backed Under | 40c | 28.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 45c | 27.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Over | 56c | 24.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 49c | 21.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Over | 51c | 21.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 52c | 19.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.