Asian League · resolved market
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08574c8c0253f54b1fbbf988cbc1ed2c802c14da1256089f8b91ab9d81852af5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 2,657$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.42 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Under | 49c | 1,701$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 52c | 1,321$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.91 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 41c | 1,176$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.3 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 1,156$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.29 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 17c | 999$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Over | 23c | 629.5$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.92 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 77c | 475.32$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 9c | 315.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 51c | 277.1$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.67 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Over | 19c | 231.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 211.61$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.76 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 76c | 186.85$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 20c | 183.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Under | 76c | 149.37$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Under | 57c | 138.66$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 11c | 137.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Over | 76c | 99.86$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.89 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 54c | 99.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 21c | 93.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…bea0backed Over | 16c | 70.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6df…e2aabacked Over | 29c | 66.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 49c | 64.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 37c | 60.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 19c | 58.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 60c | 56.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Over | 29c | 49.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…efabbacked Under | 60c | 48.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 42c | 48.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Over | 27c | 47.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…13d5backed Over | 68c | 43.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 52c | 42.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 59c | 33.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 79c | 31.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Over | 78c | 31.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c09…990bbacked Under | 61c | 29.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 78c | 26.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…af0cbacked Over | 53c | 25.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 71c | 24.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 67c | 24.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked Over | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 69c | 14.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.