TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$427,849
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$426,085

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $427,849 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Over57c165,276$93,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,812.5916040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Under42c49,729$20,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,886.113234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under44c45,184$19,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,880.963369.7%23 W · 10 L+6.2wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+37.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over56c40,213$22,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,691.4111149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over56c40,000$22,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,599.991533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf721…ecf5backed Under44c37,740$16,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,605.6530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c32,224$14,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,247.756,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4bb7…f5d9backed Under44c18,906$8,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,318.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50d1…37e2backed Under43c16,000$6,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,88010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked Under44c9,409$4,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,140.061323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-53.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under44c8,948$3,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,925.0514652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Under42c8,803$3,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,697.434841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Over56c8,786$4,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,865.7213348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Under42c8,178$3,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,434.596446.9%30 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c6,227$2,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,681.021,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under44c5,798$2,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,551.313155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc9b…897ebacked Under44c5,728$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,520.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over58c5,674$3,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,382.9777342.8%331 W · 442 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under43c5,514$2,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,371.04933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over58c5,487$3,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,304.779061.1%55 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under51c4,457$2,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,285.3138649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Under44c4,393$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.82065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+26.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Over61c4,002$2,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.969749.5%48 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over59c3,999$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.1710739.3%42 W · 65 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Under44c3,953$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under39c3,846$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.9917557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under43c3,740$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.222334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c3,696$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,874.764,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under44c3,554$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.0115255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over58c3,354$1,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.6240655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under44c2,899$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.6514158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under43c2,852$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.359847.7%285 W · 313 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under44c2,632$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.861136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Under44c2,410$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under44c2,196$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.415757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Under45c2,133$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.27145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8607061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over56c1,802$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.3856051.4%288 W · 272 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over57c1,709$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.927847.4%37 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over58c1,681$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.891637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over58c1,681$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.8910246.1%47 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over22c1,675$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.396317.5%11 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over59c1,666$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.114742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over46c1,660$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.81,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over56c1,565$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.475442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under43c1,512$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6505246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7203655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14fe…e0fdbacked Over50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under42c1,334$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.2827752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under43c1,123$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.96866.2%45 W · 23 L+9.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+21.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over60c1,100$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4408756.3%49 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Under44c1,090$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.595642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over36c1,067$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.781,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under43c1,021$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.6322146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44026651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over54c1,000$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.613554.8%74 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under44c966.4$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.228065%52 W · 28 L+10.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under44c966.4$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.2212157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under44c966.4$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.2217062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under44c966.4$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.2214459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Under43c965.8$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.29933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-51.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over58c957.99$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.361560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under43c950.08$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.5324047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under44c869.76$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.6914355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over56c846.51$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.526444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19ee…446cbacked Under53c818.16$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.81825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over56c783.82$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.7639555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under44c773.12$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.1714354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under44c773.12$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.1712757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under44c773.12$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.1713855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under64c762.64$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.2520054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under80c617.5$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4948445.2%38 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under42c608.58$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.342,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under43c589.92$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.5610960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under53c581.61$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.081,69034.9%589 W · 1,101 L-33.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30022242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over18c500$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4104129.3%12 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under44c483.2$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.6114658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under44c483.2$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.6113858.7%81 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under51c439.75$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.211,04433.3%348 W · 696 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under45c429.78$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.412549.6%62 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under43c405.64$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.4217959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under43c405.64$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.4218156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16823258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over53c399.99$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18830149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under43c393.28$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.0412558.4%73 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under43c393.28$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.0410558.1%61 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under43c393.08$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.024951%25 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over57c386.82$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.1924052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Under43c386.28$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4813921.6%30 W · 109 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under43c357.35$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.6616858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa180…d93fbacked Under43c350.88$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Over56c347.71$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.993548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dd…69ddbacked Under43c335.98$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under43c304$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7213846.4%64 W · 74 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over56c292.08$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under44c289.92$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5610860.2%65 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Under43c282.61$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.527444.6%33 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under43c274.93$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2229250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.