Premier League · resolved market
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8594ba51bf1c18f45380915495b7499a04117af44e060a4b50bdf50fb9846953
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leeds United FCof AFC Bournemouth, Leeds United FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed AFC Bournemouth | 20c | 3,344$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.53 | 6,225 | 45.6%2,836 W · 3,389 L | -34.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed AFC Bournemouth | 27c | 2,524$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.08 | 1,218 | 32.2%392 W · 826 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked AFC Bournemouth | 11c | 1,540$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.28 | 4,892 | 41.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L | +25.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Leeds United FC | 71c | 1,286$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.48 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Leeds United FC | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed AFC Bournemouth | 36c | 927.78$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.68 | 257 | 25.3%65 W · 192 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Leeds United FC | 72c | 893.33$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.6 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…92f7backed Leeds United FC | 75c | 841.99$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed AFC Bournemouth | 18c | 560.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Leeds United FC | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 595 | 51.3%305 W · 290 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Leeds United FC | 74c | 399.75$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.94 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Leeds United FC | 76c | 389.05$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.37 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed AFC Bournemouth | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…d613backed Leeds United FC | 72c | 271.32$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef7…8c9dbacked AFC Bournemouth | 27c | 219.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed AFC Bournemouth | 35c | 205.93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.08 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…3b90backed Leeds United FC | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed AFC Bournemouth | 29c | 191.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Leeds United FC | 72c | 170.09$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 878 | 48.3%424 W · 454 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked AFC Bournemouth | 26c | 154.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Leeds United FC | 75c | 151.03$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked AFC Bournemouth | 17c | 136.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d4…26fdbacked AFC Bournemouth | 43c | 136.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed AFC Bournemouth | 20c | 116.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked AFC Bournemouth | 26c | 114.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed AFC Bournemouth | 25c | 108.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked AFC Bournemouth | 25c | 95.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 2,613 | 47.6%1,245 W · 1,368 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked AFC Bournemouth | 12c | 91.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked AFC Bournemouth | 17c | 76.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Leeds United FC | 76c | 64.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked AFC Bournemouth | 69c | 52.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 752 | 56.4%424 W · 328 L | +43.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Leeds United FC | 75c | 47.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 1,821 | 34.6%630 W · 1,191 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed AFC Bournemouth | 53c | 41.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed AFC Bournemouth | 35c | 34.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed AFC Bournemouth | 36c | 33.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Leeds United FC | 78c | 28.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Leeds United FC | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b47…d64ebacked Leeds United FC | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)this page
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.