Premier League · resolved market
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0de5fda9782f93ae274f1f687c54f2c20e6803fe40097f4049de4ba907b74af7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 18c | 5,259$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.44 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 1,461$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.48 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 36c | 1,336$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…861fbacked Under | 38c | 998.5$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 58c | 599.99$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.99 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 420.8$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.44 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 47c | 412$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.36 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 69c | 410.61$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.9 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 44c | 386.56$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.47 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Under | 19c | 380.56$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.31 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Under | 53c | 353.19$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.19 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 21c | 337.58$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 69c | 299.14$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.02 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 74c | 270.66$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.21 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1317backed Over | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 35c | 257.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…1e89backed Under | 19c | 250.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 78c | 240.93$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 34c | 236.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Over | 47c | 193.64$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Over | 57c | 164.95$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.59 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 20c | 149.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Over | 47c | 146.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 18c | 145$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0a…77b5backed Under | 24c | 145$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…3f88backed Under | 22c | 140.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +175.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Over | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 68c | 125.12$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 76c | 124.33$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…b9f9backed Under | 38c | 100.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd39…600cbacked Over | 80c | 95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 47c | 82.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 78c | 79.62$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 42c | 73.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 18c | 68.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…a698backed Over | 80c | 61.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d0d5backed Over | 67c | 61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 62c | 59.89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 41c | 58.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 79c | 57.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 47c | 57.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 68c | 57.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…83afbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 21c | 49.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 69c | 47.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 76c | 42.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f7…bd16backed Over | 64c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…bb76backed Under | 49c | 32.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…625bbacked Over | 80c | 30.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ba81backed Over | 47c | 28.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 56c | 26.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Under | 67c | 26.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Over | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6efb…01afbacked Over | 71c | 22.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 51c | 20.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 67c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 79c | 18.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 79c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5this page
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.