TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$172,509
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$188,770

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,509 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd92…6b2abacked Under50c30,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,00012639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Under47c22,116$10,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,721.6537627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Under47c19,459$9,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,313.134456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c10,524$5,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,258.632,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c0…a6e7backed Over50c10,125$5,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,062.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-69.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfec8…50f7backed Under52c9,951$5,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,795.085567.3%37 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over53c9,434$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0007963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x301e…3f91backed Under47c8,468$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,467.65850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over46c7,277$3,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,335.253,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over53c7,000$3,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,71020744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over0c6,096$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4931222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over51c5,981$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,049.932,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over50c4,890$2,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,445.1538947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad63…d66fbacked Over53c4,080$2,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,162.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over70c3,707$2,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,594.7544252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Over53c3,209$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.7717055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over54c3,156$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,704.113,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over49c3,110$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.2518444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Over53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59022055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over52c2,649$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.656,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over49c2,501$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.391,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over52c2,255$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.9930446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d0a…07c7backed Over54c2,222$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Over50c2,114$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.7810860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+109.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over48c2,012$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.962,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0601,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f36…2819backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0005242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06021653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over11c2,000$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9452230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over53c1,700$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90164651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over37c1,338$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.445445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over50c1,322$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.5866352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under51c1,182$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.4789850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under49c1,156$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.1162051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Under24c1,042$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.6712540.8%51 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Over53c1,037$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.514248.6%69 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50020744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005935.6%21 W · 38 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe21e…f216backed Under53c946.66$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.6612058.3%70 W · 50 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over50c928.27$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.1366250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca2b…e77abacked Over52c922.27$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.343053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d35…96afbacked Under49c714.29$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.293138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14fe…e0fdbacked Under49c714.29$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.293259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under50c708.16$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.167946.8%37 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2efa…8a01backed Under48c690.77$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.26352.4%33 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Under48c660$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.212548%60 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.1795452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over50c630.09$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.971,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over39c624.26$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.5518643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over35c607.72$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.5289444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under40c510.91$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.281,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Under51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.24957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under51c457.16$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.23,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d46…3248backed Over48c424.79$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.94746.8%22 W · 25 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+81.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over51c422.48$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.941,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over52c385.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d95…82e8backed Over50c385.11$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.472152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over50c384.79$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.452861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.623432.4%11 W · 23 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x31ac…2a39backed Over29c362.07$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1055944.1%26 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Over43c274.13$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.775036%18 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over48c264.71$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.092,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over50c260$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13093145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14016147.2%76 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb602…1991backed Under46c210.87$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.872441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under48c208.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4689048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0827549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c200$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10049351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under51c194.85$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4819756.3%111 W · 86 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed Over54c182$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.283357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over52c173.58$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.391,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc4e…c150backed Under48c156.26$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.266749.3%33 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Over54c148.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020847.1%98 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Under52c123.08$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0824038.3%92 W · 148 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6044740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over57c115.02$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1828842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over52c109.75$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0759255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Over51c107$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2714237.3%53 W · 89 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed4e…916fbacked Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.175151%26 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa601…c58fbacked Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.042352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over48c100.66$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3414845.3%67 W · 81 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5185449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4648957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba0c…7800backed Under48c97.25$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.576048.3%29 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd95…52fbbacked Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013938.8%54 W · 85 L-14.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over34c86.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6918150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0570…5200backed Over47c83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.178457.1%48 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70c1…6701backed Over53c75.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.022934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed Over17c70.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1713042.3%55 W · 75 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over49c68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.321,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over53c67.95$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0155846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.