TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$331,373
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$333,265

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $331,373 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Over55c221,233$121,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,490.715154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under45c200,000$90,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110,00054539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Under45c36,225$16,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,914.6134456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,399.9949244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under47c16,164$7,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,578.169848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f78…f679backed Over52c13,790$7,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,210.88922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick54cpaid-54.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe49d…ff91backed Over52c5,417$2,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,817.115655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under46c5,094$2,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,762.186,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over54c4,548$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,450.211,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over55c4,342$2,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,401.1264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Under48c4,025$1,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.384949%24 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Over54c3,898$2,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,096.0817055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Under46c3,893$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.792842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Over52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe58b…ed60backed Over54c3,659$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,976812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.41per pick53cpaid-76.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c2,800$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5101,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over54c1,957$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.82,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over12c1,670$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7152230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over53c1,393$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.352,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaed4…09afbacked Over1c1,371$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7170%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under47c1,240$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.9962051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over54c1,178$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.1931046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over53c1,125$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.9411242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5701,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…5a74backed Over60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007554.7%41 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa55…e024backed Over54c929.42$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under40c901$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.962,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under38c765.9$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.8666250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over41c646.8$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.178,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under46c620.05$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.1266352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78bf…6df9backed Under49c511.63$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.936261.3%38 W · 24 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf057…1b73backed Over28c510.74$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.55520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28091050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25532450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25557950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under75c462.57$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.381,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0c3…0230backed Over55c418.27$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2307545.3%34 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over45c415.62$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.952,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…5c6abacked Under76c390.79$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.793537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008843.2%38 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90d9…56c4backed Under47c351.06$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.063571.4%25 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over4c320.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.531222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Under46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16216750.3%84 W · 83 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under55c284.4$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5128842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under78c282.94$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.561957.9%11 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c275$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14342853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under49c246.92$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.343,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Under76c226.26$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5936243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over56c220.93$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7243544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under47c213.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9689048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3582…8fc6backed Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.777332.9%24 W · 49 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Under50c209.08$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.1810457.7%60 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2212backed Over53c208.91$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.723551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Over53c208.05$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11033837.3%126 W · 212 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba0c…7800backed Under45c180.53$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.126048.3%29 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over56c179$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2429352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Under64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.258752.9%46 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.593145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc4e…c150backed Under45c143.6$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.556749.3%33 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under44c129.15$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3265045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb549…c2b6backed Under46c129$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.691942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d91…72f1backed Under46c126.09$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.09742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over54c124$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.962,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed Over58c121.55$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704551.1%23 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Over53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.642740.3%172 W · 255 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c15…6eadbacked Over61c114.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over48c113.73$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5933554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf15…2f3dbacked Under45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1110848.1%52 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae30…a1c0backed Under45c110.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.286540%26 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7291…3d0fbacked Under49c109.49$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.847945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under68c109.48$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0354549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Over58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015651.9%81 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3711…7339backed Under45c102.04$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.126336.5%23 W · 40 L-9.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-24.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Under46c102.04$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.110240.2%41 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over30c100.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2155751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5348957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over32c97.91$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3336051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over54c90.7$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9819756.3%111 W · 86 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d46…3248backed Over53c87.11$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.174746.8%22 W · 25 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+81.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaf23…dcb7backed Under45c86$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.35841.4%24 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebb5…ec99backed Over15c82.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe89e…5d8fbacked Under38c78.21$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.217537.3%28 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6cc…bf75backed Over53c73.58$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3950%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under47c73$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6789850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x449e…f0a9backed Over56c70.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.717860.3%47 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under45c70.28$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.421,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9710…0ee6backed Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1812…0db6backed Under45c56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.89634.4%33 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0b5…a0d7backed Over52c55.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296631.8%21 W · 45 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over54c53.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.721,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Under48c52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.043357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under65c51.54$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.251,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over42c50.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3737755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.527945.9%128 W · 151 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under47c45.26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9959255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45e6…a1ecbacked Over28c44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.321650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.