TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,938
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,928

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,938 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Under46c13,781$6,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,490.6217553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6969…d1b9backed Under49c8,933$4,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,555.61887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.40per pick47cpaid+82.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Over52c8,900$4,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6713545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c3,874$1,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.041,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72f3…92d6backed Over55c3,817$2,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.363855.3%21 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over51c3,050$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.8518349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over51c2,639$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34670246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over55c2,436$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.166,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under46c2,413$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.2565045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over51c2,332$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.5121943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over63c1,723$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.138,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under46c1,462$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1961…c461backed Under46c1,300$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.988750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over50c1,188$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.1144740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under46c1,100$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59445146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecee…2120backed Under48c1,083$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under46c1,011$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.0243348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under46c1,006$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.3566352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48068838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under46c999.99$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54020744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c867.65$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.821,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014731.3%46 W · 101 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under43c763.54$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.2256843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over52c643.99$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.9216946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under39c552.51$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.8728842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over52c542.11$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.914940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed Over60c500$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.822245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2553844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under50c484.18$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.0961638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under46c435$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.952951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x635c…5a00backed Under51c399.9$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.957742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under47c383.17$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.6489850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbde…a758backed Under50c359.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Under57c348.96$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.968752.9%46 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f61…f488backed Under47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.159642.7%41 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Under39c302.05$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.2734456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under47c295.31$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.073,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Under50c291$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.59652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over48c252.14$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0249249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1352,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Over56c220$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.537848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under46c220$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.835849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d14…ff3ebacked Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.774052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Over54c206$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.247451.4%38 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3717…e6dcbacked Over51c203.83$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.959874.5%73 W · 25 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over17c191.34$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6452230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5559…2bd2backed Under52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6513956.1%78 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x942d…896cbacked Over59c185$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.482755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d46…3248backed Over16c167.28$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.394746.8%22 W · 25 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+81.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Over54c158$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3229556.6%167 W · 128 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over63c148.09$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9336243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over41c138.32$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3337755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under46c129.79$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.091,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c3…1ab9backed Over62c111.27$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.351643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under47c110$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.37751.9%40 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Under47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3827549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Over59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607763.6%49 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c5c…e316backed Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over44c99.46$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.762,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d15…8026backed Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.527854.7%152 W · 126 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under44c95.15$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1569848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb74f…d843backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506250%31 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Under44c89.29$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502564%16 W · 9 L+4.3wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+71.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Over53c82.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.981625%4 W · 12 L-4.4wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under47c82.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.988350.6%42 W · 41 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under43c79.81$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.491,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under59c79$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.692,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under49c78.72$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9462051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa601…c58fbacked Over67c75.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b2…aca8backed Over55c72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under46c66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6444747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55a3…fd93backed Under50c65.96$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.982846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Under47c65$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4523051.3%118 W · 112 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a7a…9ca2backed Under47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.832650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3317…166abacked Under52c63.21$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.217338.4%28 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under51c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.911,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…4698backed Over57c57.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Over51c57.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.125257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5081…e5acbacked Over65c55.73$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2620055.5%111 W · 89 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over46c54.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2546959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over25c51.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.981,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under45c50.09$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5515543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f9…2b7bbacked Under48c41.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.42347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Over49c40.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9314150.4%71 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08fb…8b8bbacked Over54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.66746.3%31 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b12…92dfbacked Over49c39.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Over59c38.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2320650.5%104 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…43f3backed Over50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e6…f081backed Under60c38.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.331275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over54c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9862049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1292…b4fcbacked Over46c36.66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under73c35.74$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6578639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6df…e2aabacked Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-33%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under72c34.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7915663.5%99 W · 57 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d6b…8ffabacked Over49c31.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.445147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4175…87a0backed Over54c30.57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.519652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under44c29.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6717043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.