TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa601…c58f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$14.63
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$28.39
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$31.68
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$172
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,233Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,232.8
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$295.13
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+130.5%+$164.05
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$45.49
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.18
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+150.5%+$29.05
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$34.19
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.28
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$32.27
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$6.07
Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$19.65
Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 13.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$22.45
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.49
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$175.38
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.8
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.86
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$24.24
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.59
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Stars vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.33
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$29
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$50.91
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$262.37
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.14
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.26
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.22
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rio Ave FC vs. AVS Futebol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$12.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.