TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,332
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,843

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,332 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Over48c44,533$21,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,350.241850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under61c31,102$18,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,190.7212146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Under57c17,201$9,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,468.574546.7%21 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over40c11,523$4,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,609.210146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under36c5,800$2,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,694.682,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Under55c4,500$2,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,01033652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Over44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76015448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Under61c3,171$1,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.6964242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Over39c2,505$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.959038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over39c2,285$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.2910545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Over50c2,047$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.889545.3%43 W · 52 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Under60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80015749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under62c1,733$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.691,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Under55c1,524$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.964252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over65c1,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.9915265.1%99 W · 53 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…03c2backed Under35c1,429$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.576750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc322…3f23backed Under61c1,328$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.87742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over39c1,307$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.8922946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under60c1,075$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43076950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Under61c1,011$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3942850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Over39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3904042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under45c950.51$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.5125449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Over39c807.5$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.9331148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over57c796.03$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.0929448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under61c780.56$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.4228749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under55c676.36$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.36862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa2d…18c6backed Over46c554.35$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2555945.8%27 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over55c542.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.573,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under49c519.98$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.791,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under42c493.77$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.027047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under60c473.4$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.3647753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa601…c58fbacked Under43c462.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.371450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under61c444$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.1649546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Under52c366.35$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.352100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over33c363.64$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12019033.7%64 W · 126 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over61c350$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.011,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over39c336.77$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3418641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under56c291.22$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.1413437.3%50 W · 84 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf10…d318backed Over62c265$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.918931.2%59 W · 130 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2a8…8466backed Over44c260$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under34c258.45$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.744748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over40c230$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over47c208.27$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9141050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8106…bd36backed Under57c173.09$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.433351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Under53c157$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8931047.4%147 W · 163 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Under61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.518046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf30…8b95backed Over44c130.12$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.584443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c115.84$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.982353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Over49c112.31$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.034850%24 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over53c109$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.777152.1%37 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over47c108$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.531,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over43c103.94$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7924946.2%115 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed Under42c99.67$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.843259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under49c98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3860449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88fc…74a4backed Under47c91.32$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3213442.5%57 W · 77 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.914452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under49c88$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8856553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over39c76.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9353849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under60c76.18$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4733554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce71…54c9backed Over40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307842.3%33 W · 45 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over40c72.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9271952.4%377 W · 342 L-2.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over46c58.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.014055%22 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under45c58.26$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3229533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under63c58.2$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4192049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x951b…291abacked Over40c57.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236540%26 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6cc…bf75backed Under51c57.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.06666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+37.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45e6…a1ecbacked Under53c55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa928…bbaabacked Under36c52$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.286142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over38c51.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.612,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over39c51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.892450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over44c50.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4342558.6%249 W · 176 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x488e…ea2ebacked Over38c50.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2021155.5%117 W · 94 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x880b…90a8backed Over40c48.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.513946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a6a…ed83backed Under55c47.27$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.27771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+56.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Under36c46.13$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.473464.7%22 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.635551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over66c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.428652.4%150 W · 136 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2a8…c784backed Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Under36c36.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.322564%16 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6cbd…f6f3backed Over42c35.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Over56c29.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6914542.8%62 W · 83 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0271…5673backed Under47c29.89$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.84475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+63.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under42c26.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1121355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under61c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.886753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf1c…18fabacked Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over44c24.34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7549851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e8…c0e2backed Over43c23.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.021250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under49c22.82$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5826154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc867…8b00backed Under49c21.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.02757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ba…0bc3backed Over65c21.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.63850%19 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6efb…01afbacked Under62c17.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.621361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.