NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x830598fe18c001fca432a9153ef8727e57fa428395788a04ba1bb51ec81be0ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 48c | 44,533$21,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,350.2 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 61c | 31,102$18,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,190.72 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Under | 57c | 17,201$9,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,468.57 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 40c | 11,523$4,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,609.2 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 5,800$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694.68 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 55c | 4,500$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Over | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 61c | 3,171$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.69 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Over | 39c | 2,505$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.95 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 39c | 2,285$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.29 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Over | 50c | 2,047$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.88 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Under | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 62c | 1,733$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.69 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Under | 55c | 1,524$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.96 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.99 | 152 | 65.1%99 W · 53 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…03c2backed Under | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc322…3f23backed Under | 61c | 1,328$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 39c | 1,307$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.89 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 60c | 1,075$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Under | 61c | 1,011$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 45c | 950.51$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.51 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Over | 39c | 807.5$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.93 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 57c | 796.03$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.09 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 61c | 780.56$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.42 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 55c | 676.36$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…18c6backed Over | 46c | 554.35$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 55c | 542.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.57 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 519.98$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.79 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Under | 42c | 493.77$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.02 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 60c | 473.4$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.36 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…c58fbacked Under | 43c | 462.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.37 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 61c | 444$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.16 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Under | 52c | 366.35$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 33c | 363.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 61c | 350$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.01 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 39c | 336.77$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.34 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Under | 56c | 291.22$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.14 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Over | 62c | 265$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.9 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Over | 44c | 260$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 34c | 258.45$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.74 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Over | 40c | 230$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 47c | 208.27$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…bd36backed Under | 57c | 173.09$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Under | 53c | 157$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Under | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…8b95backed Over | 44c | 130.12$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 115.84$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Over | 49c | 112.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 53c | 109$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 47c | 108$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 43c | 103.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed Under | 42c | 99.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Under | 47c | 91.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 49c | 88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 39c | 76.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 60c | 76.18$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…54c9backed Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 719 | 52.4%377 W · 342 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 46c | 58.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 45c | 58.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 63c | 58.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951b…291abacked Over | 40c | 57.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cc…bf75backed Under | 51c | 57.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…a1ecbacked Under | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…bbaabacked Under | 36c | 52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 38c | 51.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 44c | 50.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488e…ea2ebacked Over | 38c | 50.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Over | 40c | 48.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…ed83backed Under | 55c | 47.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 36c | 46.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a8…c784backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Under | 36c | 36.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbd…f6f3backed Over | 42c | 35.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Over | 56c | 29.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…5673backed Under | 47c | 29.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 42c | 26.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1c…18fabacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 44c | 24.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…c0e2backed Over | 43c | 23.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 49c | 22.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc867…8b00backed Under | 49c | 21.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Over | 65c | 21.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6efb…01afbacked Under | 62c | 17.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5this page
- Ducks vs. OilersOilers won
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.