NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf64d6c423c7818e376361150954c65895dea1a23958a360774caa44831e83a83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Ducks, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,997,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,036,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,997,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 489 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Ducks | 0c | 762,882$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Ducks | 43c | 392,401$166,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166,979.53 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Ducks | 0c | 210,974$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Oilers | 58c | 121,000$70,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,820 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Oilers | 57c | 89,760$51,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,596.83 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Oilers | 59c | 80,917$47,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,072.18 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Ducks | 41c | 47,970$19,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,667.68 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f24…05efbacked Ducks | 28c | 44,956$12,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,440.01 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Ducks | 40c | 41,471$16,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,748.54 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Oilers | 57c | 37,433$21,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,096.33 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Oilers | 58c | 25,000$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ducks | 18c | 22,155$4,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,074.05 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Oilers | 57c | 16,450$9,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,073.5 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Ducks | 9c | 13,645$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa555…7594backed Ducks | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Ducks | 1c | 12,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Oilers | 72c | 11,253$8,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,118.34 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Oilers | 58c | 10,620$6,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,460.33 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Oilers | 58c | 10,309$6,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,306.25 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Ducks | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200.12 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Oilers | 58c | 9,911$5,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,162.75 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…194fbacked Ducks | 30c | 9,815$2,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,978.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc7…2b30backed Ducks | 9c | 9,175$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 58c | 9,172$5,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,857.36 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Oilers | 59c | 8,185$4,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,355.83 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Oilers | 63c | 7,138$4,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,674.38 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Oilers | 59c | 6,690$3,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.61 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Ducks | 6c | 6,356$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.99 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +14.8wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Oilers | 59c | 6,340$3,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Oilers | 58c | 6,158$3,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.5 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Oilers | 58c | 5,555$3,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Ducks | 0c | 5,500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Ducks | 42c | 5,500$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…6bbebacked Ducks | 7c | 5,129$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.36 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed Oilers | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Oilers | 59c | 4,892$2,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.35 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Ducks | 40c | 4,820$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Oilers | 58c | 4,765$2,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.3 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…6862backed Ducks | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Oilers | 67c | 4,703$3,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.27 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ducks | 11c | 4,398$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.52 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Oilers | 60c | 4,338$2,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.85 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Ducks | 35c | 4,198$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.39 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Ducks | 34c | 4,187$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.01 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Ducks | 16c | 4,090$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Ducks | 41c | 4,058$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.81 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oilers | 70c | 4,053$2,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.29 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oilers | 70c | 3,951$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.23 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Ducks | 41c | 3,659$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Oilers | 69c | 3,006$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.86 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ac…3f7cbacked Oilers | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Ducks | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Oilers | 73c | 3,000$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Oilers | 60c | 2,995$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.87 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Oilers | 58c | 2,840$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.05 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Oilers | 59c | 2,800$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.09 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Ducks | 29c | 2,745$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Ducks | 15c | 2,647$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.55 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Oilers | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Oilers | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Oilers | 72c | 2,379$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.5 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Ducks | 42c | 2,379$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Oilers | 58c | 2,277$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.25 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Ducks | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Ducks | 3c | 2,222$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Ducks | 39c | 2,222$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.56 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Ducks | 40c | 2,201$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.37 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Oilers | 59c | 2,025$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.25 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Oilers | 59c | 2,015$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.07 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Oilers | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…b23ebacked Ducks | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Oilers | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Oilers | 60c | 1,902$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.28 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Oilers | 58c | 1,744$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.38 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…03c2backed Ducks | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…98a8backed Oilers | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Oilers | 58c | 1,500$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Ducks | 4c | 1,494$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Oilers | 57c | 1,491$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.23 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Ducks | 14c | 1,459$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.51 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Oilers | 61c | 1,430$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.31 | 248 | 37.9%94 W · 154 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Ducks | 42c | 1,420$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.5 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ducks | 18c | 1,405$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.83 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…a907backed Oilers | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…e95fbacked Ducks | 40c | 1,346$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.1 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Ducks | 4c | 1,315$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Ducks | 13c | 1,191$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Ducks | 42c | 1,180$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.6 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…b757backed Ducks | 42c | 1,170$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Ducks | 14c | 1,141$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.59 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed Oilers | 59c | 1,136$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01a…cc6abacked Ducks | 8c | 1,135$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Ducks | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Oilers | 58c | 1,100$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Ducks | 11c | 1,065$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.16 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Oilers | 60c | 1,037$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.3 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Ducks | 39c | 1,030$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.7 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Ducks | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Ducks | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Ducks | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Oilersthis page
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.