TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0271…5673

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 60 out of 100; worst MLB at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.06
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$11.01
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.78
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$27.89
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.41
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$10.27
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.88
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.51
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$26.78
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.82
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$16.33
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.59
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+42.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Istanbul: Guiomar Maristany vs Anouk Koevermansbacked Anouk Koevermans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Wuxi: Yasutaka Uchiyama vs Alastair Graybacked Alastair Gray · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Jiujiang: Liam Broady vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+150%+$21.96
Ostrava: Marco Cecchinato vs Garrett Johnsbacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.9
Cagliari: Luca Potenza vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Luca Potenza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Aix en Provence: Clement Chidekh vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Shymkent 2: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Alexandr Bindabacked Alexandr Binda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+248%+$33.51
Abidjan 2: Karim Bennani vs Karan Singhbacked Karim Bennani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+175.5%+$84.62
Abidjan 2: Maks Kasnikowski vs Cesar Bouchelaghembacked Cesar Bouchelaghem · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
Madrid Open: Solana Sierra vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$7.26
Shymkent 2: Tomasz Berkieta vs Mathys Erhardbacked Mathys Erhard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.65
Shymkent 2: Oleg Prihodko vs Alexandr Bindabacked Oleg Prihodko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Jiujiang: Alexis Galarneau vs Dane Sweenybacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$14.41
Huzhou: Wushuang Zheng vs Yexin Mabacked Wushuang Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.64
All 14 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick58cpaid+55.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
Will Barcelona SC vs. CD Universidad Católica end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.85
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
O'Higgins FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$12.4
Will Club Libertad win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
CA Huracán vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$12.96
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+171.7%+$33.19
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Unión end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.94
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Unión: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$15.42
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Unión: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$20.67
All 10 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick54cpaid-72%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+63.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$13.98
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.29
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.84
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+98.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.46
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$34.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Viking FK vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Austin FC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.