Tennis · resolved market
Ostrava: Marco Cecchinato vs Garrett Johns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37f74bcf053da10075219e5ef84af5e7cb3334866d19903acc643550d4912331
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marco Cecchinatoof Marco Cecchinato, Garrett Johns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Garrett Johns | 12c | 4,179$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.09 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Garrett Johns | 10c | 2,574$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.78 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Marco Cecchinato | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Marco Cecchinato | 77c | 1,167$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.52 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Garrett Johns | 24c | 1,100$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Garrett Johns | 28c | 619.03$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 208 | 44.2%92 W · 116 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Garrett Johns | 6c | 573.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Garrett Johns | 23c | 525$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.75 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Garrett Johns | 23c | 512.47$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.87 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Marco Cecchinato | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Garrett Johns | 23c | 320$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Garrett Johns | 20c | 297.66$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Garrett Johns | 11c | 271.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Garrett Johns | 24c | 271.04$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc6…1cedbacked Garrett Johns | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Garrett Johns | 6c | 193.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 322 | 40.7%131 W · 191 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Garrett Johns | 10c | 162.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x112e…0d1fbacked Marco Cecchinato | 77c | 136.36$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 349 | 65%227 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Garrett Johns | 23c | 132.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Garrett Johns | 8c | 130.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Garrett Johns | 24c | 125.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Marco Cecchinato | 76c | 105.25$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Garrett Johns | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Marco Cecchinato | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 386 | 64%247 W · 139 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Marco Cecchinato | 78c | 51.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Garrett Johns | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Marco Cecchinato | 77c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Marco Cecchinato | 78c | 25.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 315 | 63.5%200 W · 115 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2d…8a14backed Marco Cecchinato | 77c | 24.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…c990backed Marco Cecchinato | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 85 | 72.9%62 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Marco Cecchinato | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…5673backed Marco Cecchinato | 79c | 18.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.