TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 207.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$279,634
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$291,564

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,634 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd202…8973backed Over48c42,308$20,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,181.827650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Over51c25,555$13,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,521.9574748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under52c24,357$12,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,665.5711137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over50c22,201$11,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,034.4117553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under53c19,944$10,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,570.1849244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under49c18,719$9,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,239.3269848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c18,109$9,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,024.044,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Under55c17,815$9,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,731.139945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Over45c14,220$6,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,852.2120545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c13,073$6,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,405.751,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over49c12,500$6,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,37566250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ab…76e2backed Over46c12,090$5,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,528.28425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Under57c8,530$4,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,871.3211654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under55c6,499$3,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,588.4664948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb9b…1d68backed Over48c6,098$2,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,192.24771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+50.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under56c5,375$2,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,987.543348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Under55c5,047$2,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,775.827048.6%34 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under51c4,526$2,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,314.1144740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under51c3,882$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980.021,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Under51c3,097$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.8818743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c2,940$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.891,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under51c2,912$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.0256453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Over43c2,018$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.3725641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9869149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ac…88c9backed Over48c1,873$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.962466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under51c1,661$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.3510256.9%58 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Under52c1,614$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.286237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc507…6054backed Under27c1,500$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.98714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-56.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over45c1,455$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8002,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under55c1,415$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.440451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01d9…27a3backed Over44c1,385$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.34837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under55c1,251$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.237355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under51c1,221$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.4917052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36ed…4a93backed Under53c1,200$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.983138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Over50c1,164$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58216849.4%83 W · 85 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under52c1,104$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.5866352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over48c1,066$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.158148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf9f…30b1backed Over44c1,020$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5711266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+42.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5603056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+40.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52011757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under52c999.99$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.661,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over46c984.01$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.3617147.4%81 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Under64c983.21$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.3936243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87b8…e1a1backed Under50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4859663.5%61 W · 35 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Over50c970$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48514045.7%64 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Under78c949.32$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.4616750.3%84 W · 83 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Under72c909.89$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.87452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under54c900.37$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.295452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13b7…dfd8backed Over49c879.06$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.321457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over44c875.69$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.3924151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb29a…bbdebacked Over45c842.2$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.051323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-54%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c820.48$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.236,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf721…ecf5backed Over49c791.35$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.591637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under53c696.76$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.2846258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over37c628.76$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.068,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c611.92$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.965,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x488e…ea2ebacked Under57c598.19$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.974839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over21c587.14$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.8621848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91dc…7663backed Over45c567.11$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.912548%12 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over28c553.47$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.268838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under44c553.41$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.22,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa2d…18c6backed Over57c509.38$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.053243.8%14 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Over47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26511437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Under51c496.1$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.012281.8%18 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c481.82$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.554,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over38c467.2$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.1728537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over43c430.75$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.5338947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Over48c403.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9114549%71 W · 74 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over47c393.97$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.8862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under52c383.47$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.476249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45fa…f86fbacked Over47c376.53$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.56850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52f…88fabacked Over52c373.25$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.165850%29 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad7c…6244backed Over27c369.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.053444.1%15 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c22…a280backed Under74c364.65$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.72475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over47c337.9$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.0940146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked Over42c335.5$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.592254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over47c309$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.778844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under50c303.21$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.61,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over43c293.85$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.491,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over50c291$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.59652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under50c289.36$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5945251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under52c276.63$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.9132045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under61c276.14$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.443,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over47c266.38$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.181,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8f6…da6bbacked Under57c264.91$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under58c249.45$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.2647651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Over30c225$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.553945.3%244 W · 295 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Over30c225$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.526639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed Under49c205.75$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.829653.1%51 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Under51c205.54$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8216555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over52c205.45$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6129046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Over50c203.7$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8525850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Over31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1387339.7%29 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Over31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13817748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Over31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1387839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Over31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13812637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Over21c200$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1584748.9%23 W · 24 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick33cpaid+82%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.