NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x771017bf4abbf6c442dd7a800d71acebe4cecb3ad65fc22c536f8347b4ca0796

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Rocketsof Rockets, Lakers
Resolved: Apr 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $279,215
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $280,412

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,215 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Rockets	53c	97,180$51,505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45,674.6	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lakers	47c	89,035$41,846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,846.31	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1333…e463backed Rockets	53c	76,157$40,358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,798.77	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-6.2wins	-0.14per pick	53cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Lakers	48c	34,402$16,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,459.71	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Lakers	48c	30,373$14,579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,578.97	296	50.3%149 W · 147 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Rockets	53c	17,066$8,989 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,077.16	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Rockets	52c	16,427$8,542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,885.16	113	33.6%38 W · 75 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Lakers	46c	10,000$4,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,599.99	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers	46c	9,749$4,443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,442.62	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers	46c	8,950$4,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,124.83	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Lakers	44c	8,649$3,806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,805.68	249	42.2%105 W · 144 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Lakers	47c	8,000$3,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,760	220	55%121 W · 99 L	+12.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets	58c	7,029$4,091 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,937.73	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2f…aaf8backed Lakers	49c	6,838$3,351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,350.68	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Lakers	40c	4,705$1,864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,863.93	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+21%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Lakers	48c	3,976$1,889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,889.41	203	52.7%107 W · 96 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Lakers	48c	3,881$1,863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,862.89	373	55%205 W · 168 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Rockets	54c	3,800$2,052 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,748.2	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Lakers	46c	3,789$1,743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,742.76	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Rockets	65c	3,605$2,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,245.05	263	37.3%98 W · 165 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Lakers	45c	2,790$1,255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,255.4	167	43.7%73 W · 94 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Rockets	55c	2,372$1,301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,070.34	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Lakers	48c	2,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$959.98	320	51.9%166 W · 154 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d2b…97fdbacked Rockets	55c	1,770$973 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$796.47	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Rockets	52c	1,750$911 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$838.7	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Rockets	56c	1,727$963 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$764.01	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Lakers	30c	1,643$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.73	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Lakers	44c	1,353$595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.07	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Rockets	56c	1,183$663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.73	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Rockets	49c	1,118$548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570.07	170	52.4%89 W · 81 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Rockets	55c	1,097$603 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$493.58	55	61.8%34 W · 21 L	+6.7wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Rockets	50c	1,064$532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$531.99	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Rockets	53c	1,010$535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$474.83	82	42.7%35 W · 47 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets	57c	1,000$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Rockets	51c	986.56$503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$483.08	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Lakers	50c	978.98$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.58	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Lakers	43c	965.8$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.29	160	39.4%63 W · 97 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Lakers	51c	955.08$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.24	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	-8.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Rockets	49c	952.21$467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$485.63	60	28.3%17 W · 43 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Rockets	55c	884.55$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$398.05	364	50.8%185 W · 179 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rockets	71c	875.98$622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.03	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28ce…979fbacked Lakers	49c	866.75$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.71	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Rockets	47c	830$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.9	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	-5.1wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Rockets	50c	744.09$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368.63	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…8ddabacked Lakers	48c	678.16$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.52	51	80.4%41 W · 10 L	+9.7wins	+0.19per pick	61cpaid	+33%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf4cd…a898backed Lakers	50c	640.16$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.4	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers	45c	624.51$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.03	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Rockets	50c	549.88$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.48	285	37.9%108 W · 177 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa663…eceabacked Rockets	52c	547.05$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.58	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Rockets	51c	475.78$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.13	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Lakers	43c	461.88$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.01	168	42.3%71 W · 97 L	-12.8wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Lakers	52c	460.01$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.54	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f61…f488backed Lakers	48c	403.67$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.76	96	42.7%41 W · 55 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Lakers	49c	387.76$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x332e…df71backed Rockets	55c	353.92$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.32	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Lakers	46c	336.66$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.86	452	51.1%231 W · 221 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Rockets	45c	290.1$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.56	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c85…31d4backed Rockets	51c	285.47$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.88	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4584…5473backed Lakers	37c	262.63$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.74	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1833…1e48backed Lakers	48c	246.24$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.19	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-3.3wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-21%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bfe…9408backed Lakers	48c	222.28$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.56	56	37.5%21 W · 35 L	-6.8wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Rockets	51c	219.62$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.61	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc822…650bbacked Lakers	44c	218.54$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.16	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…77c8backed Lakers	48c	203.93$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.89	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	55cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0278…9c8dbacked Lakers	51c	194.06$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Lakers	42c	190.5$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.95	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Lakers	46c	190.26$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.96	762	47.1%359 W · 403 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Lakers	47c	188.67$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.96	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Lakers	47c	188$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.36	143	38.5%55 W · 88 L	-18.4wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Rockets	53c	187.03$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.9	272	51.1%139 W · 133 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7cd…7db3backed Rockets	53c	183.36$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.18	83	54.2%45 W · 38 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4921…3811backed Lakers	51c	165.04$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.95	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-3.4wins	-0.13per pick	55cpaid	-23%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf462…2cd4backed Rockets	55c	160.73$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.63	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Rockets	53c	146.69$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.94	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f4c…dd9abacked Rockets	70c	140.53$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.33	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee96…0634backed Rockets	54c	134.44$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.84	62	50%31 W · 31 L	+6.0wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Lakers	44c	119.79$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.71	130	47.7%62 W · 68 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2aae…16e6backed Lakers	44c	109.82$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.32	124	58.9%73 W · 51 L	+10.3wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xecbb…a8c2backed Lakers	48c	106.57$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.15	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Lakers	46c	105.17$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.38	603	46.4%280 W · 323 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f25…4caabacked Lakers	48c	100.76$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.36	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.4wins	-0.30per pick	55cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Rockets	60c	100.61$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.48	600	49.8%299 W · 301 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Rockets	54c	97.21$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.2	319	55.2%176 W · 143 L	+13.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Lakers	46c	96.64$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.65	112	32.1%36 W · 76 L	-17.3wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf90d…9f01backed Lakers	53c	92.45$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.58	77	48.1%37 W · 40 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Lakers	47c	88.97$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.82	488	52%254 W · 234 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Rockets	61c	84.51$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.63	73	58.9%43 W · 30 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Lakers	30c	83.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.02	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x4b37…17bdbacked Lakers	35c	82.51$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.83	124	34.7%43 W · 81 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Rockets	61c	78.47$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.62	469	59.1%277 W · 192 L	+28.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Lakers	48c	77.62$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.26	100	59%59 W · 41 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Rockets	45c	76.89$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.45	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Lakers	45c	75.45$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.18	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Lakers	51c	72.78$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.88	113	44.2%50 W · 63 L	-6.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Lakers	55c	70.33$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.68	454	45.2%205 W · 249 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Lakers	50c	60.14$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.07	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Lakers	42c	59.46$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.97	663	52.6%349 W · 314 L	+30.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cb6…3965backed Rockets	51c	59.38$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.1	56	62.5%35 W · 21 L	+5.4wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x553e…df91backed Lakers	50c	58.2$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.1	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c4…db17backed Rockets	55c	56.93$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.62	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+4.3wins	+0.17per pick	51cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Rockets (-2.5)this page
1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5No won
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 23.5No won
Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Lakers vs. RocketsRockets won
Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5Over won
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5Over won
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 207.5Over won
LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5No won
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Luke Kennard: Points O/U 12.5No won
Luke Kennard: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets won
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Rockets won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Rockets (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event