NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a20e55d87cb7ab790a24dfb3d7e3f1737056d5f84b0705583f46274e80b7c40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $971,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $904,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $971,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lakers | 50c | 400,234$201,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201,761.12 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Rockets | 47c | 295,006$138,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156,733.28 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…f80abacked Rockets | 44c | 221,714$97,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,159.99 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Rockets | 44c | 81,527$35,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,653.58 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 48c | 59,855$28,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,916.62 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Lakers | 51c | 49,030$25,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,005.16 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Rockets | 51c | 22,338$11,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,043.45 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Rockets | 49c | 16,335$7,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,358.96 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers | 49c | 13,594$6,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,660.98 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Rockets | 51c | 12,133$6,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,944.92 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rockets | 51c | 11,932$6,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,846.48 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Lakers | 56c | 10,432$5,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,841.8 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Lakers | 51c | 9,962$5,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,080.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Rockets | 49c | 9,429$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,808.57 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Rockets | 49c | 9,429$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,808.57 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…4388backed Lakers | 54c | 7,740$4,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,183.38 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Rockets | 46c | 6,000$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,219.99 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Lakers | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.99 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Lakers | 53c | 5,957$3,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150.74 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 51c | 5,860$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990.69 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Rockets | 49c | 5,341$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,723.8 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Lakers | 40c | 5,247$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.13 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Lakers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Lakers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Rockets | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.89 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Lakers | 54c | 4,542$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.25 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Lakers | 54c | 4,468$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.02 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Lakers | 58c | 4,202$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Rockets | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 30c | 3,876$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.21 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…77c8backed Lakers | 53c | 3,868$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Lakers | 58c | 3,710$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.34 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Rockets | 48c | 3,309$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.75 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed Rockets | 49c | 3,139$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.12 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Rockets | 47c | 2,803$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.34 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Rockets | 42c | 2,459$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.19 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 64c | 2,448$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.55 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…40cebacked Lakers | 52c | 2,335$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…ad24backed Lakers | 52c | 2,294$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.28 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rockets | 49c | 2,202$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.44 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Rockets | 45c | 2,006$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.31 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Lakers | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Lakers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Rockets | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.96 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lakers | 48c | 1,999$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.93 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Rockets | 48c | 1,867$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.07 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Rockets | 51c | 1,814$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.84 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Rockets | 45c | 1,629$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.95 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Lakers | 51c | 1,563$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.63 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Lakers | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc322…3f23backed Lakers | 53c | 1,467$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.44 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Rockets | 49c | 1,454$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.59 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rockets | 49c | 1,385$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.49 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Rockets | 49c | 1,325$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.32 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Rockets | 49c | 1,310$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.07 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Rockets | 48c | 1,230$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.48 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Lakers | 53c | 1,200$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.98 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Rockets | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Rockets | 47c | 1,050$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.11 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Rockets | 47c | 1,022$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.1 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Lakers | 52c | 1,017$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.94 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Rockets | 51c | 1,015$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.5 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Rockets | 49c | 1,012$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.96 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Lakers | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…7404backed Rockets | 65c | 998.96$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.64 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Rockets | 49c | 990.67$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.24 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Lakers | 50c | 920.9$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.77 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Rockets | 45c | 883.19$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.76 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…83e6backed Lakers | 58c | 838.66$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.43 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Lakers | 42c | 819.43$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.01 | 136 | 44.1%60 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockets | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Lakers | 53c | 777.44$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.04 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Lakers | 49c | 736.5$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.89 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 49c | 691.38$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.69 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 50c | 688.19$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.1 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Rockets | 52c | 653.69$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.77 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Lakers | 53c | 637.12$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.11 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Rockets | 51c | 589.97$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.09 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Lakers | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Rockets | 50c | 582$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Rockets | 49c | 556.34$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.73 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Lakers | 56c | 549.9$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.7 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7af…1802backed Lakers | 50c | 517.94$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Rockets | 43c | 517.15$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.77 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Lakers | 53c | 510.2$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.4 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Rockets | 49c | 508.31$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.28 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…2e7ebacked Rockets | 51c | 501.48$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.72 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…3ebfbacked Lakers | 53c | 497.62$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.73 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Rockets | 52c | 470.66$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.92 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Rockets | 47c | 467.2$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.3 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…5a74backed Rockets | 45c | 432.22$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.86 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Lakers | 50c | 430$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Lakers | 58c | 420.17$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.7 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Rockets | 51c | 414.07$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.54 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d95…82e8backed Lakers | 51c | 409.11$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.92 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Rockets | 44c | 396.72$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.16 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Lakers | 49c | 395.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.86 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…8f64backed Lakers | 50c | 394.4$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.2 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Lakers | 49c | 387.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…7582backed Lakers | 55c | 386.77$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.12 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | -27.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Lakers vs. RocketsRockets won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 207.5Over won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Luke Kennard: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.