TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,848
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,381

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,848 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x373a…f4c1backed No54c645.33$348 inWon+$296.8590863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7196…08d3backed Yes46c631.19$290 inLost-$290.281838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes2c582.52$13 inLost-$12.695541.8%23 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked No53c299.57$159 inWon+$140.9239265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Yes19c218.07$41 inLost-$40.642842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa95c…1b63backed Yes9c211.58$20 inLost-$19.861573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+43%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7820…0b73backed Yes48c190.12$91 inLost-$91.061258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No51c93.49$48 inWon+$45.6256050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb2b…9539backed Yes45c85.96$39 inLost-$38.6870%0 W · 7 L-3.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Yes49c70.76$35 inLost-$34.5349247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2650…eed9backed Yes51c62.8$32 inLost-$32.0320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Yes48c48.44$23 inLost-$23.216951.5%87 W · 82 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e73…248ebacked No52c41.25$21 inWon+$19.76683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+33.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00ea…4013backed No55c36.14$20 inWon+$16.265046%23 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ef6…38b5backed Yes45c34.95$16 inLost-$15.731526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked No53c27.08$14 inWon+$12.7332866.5%218 W · 110 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70b6…f93fbacked Yes48c24.56$12 inLost-$11.775137.3%19 W · 32 L-6.7wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-24.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked Yes48c23.27$11 inLost-$11.1233049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.