NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3675fe12ecc521883ed75ff73cba943cca8cc497fa9f85156c3e40cc65b75ff6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Lakers, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rockets | 58c | 3,838$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.68 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Lakers | 42c | 2,885$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.99 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Rockets | 60c | 1,490$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.88 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Lakers | 42c | 1,402$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.77 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Lakers | 46c | 1,245$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.12 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Lakers | 49c | 1,189$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.81 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Rockets | 55c | 1,173$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Rockets | 49c | 1,073$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.48 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Rockets | 58c | 996.55$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.69 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Lakers | 42c | 991.28$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lakers | 33c | 846.75$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.22 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Rockets | 48c | 732.36$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.48 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Lakers | 45c | 676.03$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.21 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Rockets | 59c | 617.43$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.15 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Rockets | 65c | 500.4$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.14 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Rockets | 50c | 453.96$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.87 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rockets | 58c | 344.92$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.19 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lakers | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3048…057fbacked Lakers | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Rockets | 51c | 293.12$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.63 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Rockets | 60c | 225.46$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.18 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Lakers | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 304 | 44.7%136 W · 168 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Lakers | 35c | 178.81$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Rockets | 56c | 147.64$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39d…b695backed Lakers | 28c | 138.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Rockets | 48c | 118.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…32f8backed Rockets | 62c | 118.17$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…a103backed Lakers | 44c | 108.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Lakers | 45c | 107.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Lakers | 45c | 106.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…65a4backed Lakers | 45c | 106.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Lakers | 45c | 106.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…9800backed Lakers | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0edb…92c3backed Lakers | 24c | 99.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd85a…1d03backed Lakers | 40c | 98.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…0353backed Lakers | 45c | 97.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets | 57c | 72.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb221…a639backed Lakers | 43c | 69.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Lakers | 41c | 68.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…4046backed Lakers | 21c | 67.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630b…34ffbacked Lakers | 42c | 64.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Lakers | 35c | 56.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…4968backed Lakers | 45c | 53.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07ed…041bbacked Lakers | 37c | 51.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Rockets | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b5…b6c8backed Rockets | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…7404backed Rockets | 78c | 42.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Rockets | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe127…82a2backed Rockets | 60c | 40.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…3ebfbacked Lakers | 42c | 39.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Rockets | 61c | 38.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Lakers | 31c | 37.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 228 | 44.7%102 W · 126 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed Rockets | 60c | 37.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Rockets | 50c | 36.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…85f8backed Rockets | 58c | 36.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c02…44e5backed Lakers | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Lakers | 50c | 34.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Lakers | 49c | 34.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.39per pick | 43cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Rockets | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2c5abacked Lakers | 45c | 29.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lakers | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Rockets | 49c | 23.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Lakers | 45c | 23.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Rockets | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Rockets | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…8617backed Rockets | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Lakers | 52c | 19.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Lakers vs. RocketsRockets won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 207.5Over won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Luke Kennard: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.