TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$191,851
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$198,673

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,851 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Under51c98,840$49,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,952.2969848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x040e…582fbacked Over49c53,748$26,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,332.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Over50c38,800$19,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,40016846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under51c18,751$9,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,591.425248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Over49c14,855$7,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,576.0912450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over52c10,264$5,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,876.8893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over38c8,298$3,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,171.893,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Under52c6,869$3,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,571.753135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over52c5,882$3,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,823.5717553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Under70c4,618$3,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,236.184264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over47c4,217$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250.382,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under48c4,080$1,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.4534255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c85…94a4backed Over50c3,880$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9403345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Under50c3,010$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50582442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over45c2,999$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.5820744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93a7…b221backed Over49c2,882$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.821957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under48c2,422$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.5693145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over49c1,943$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.1365045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under52c1,942$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.0556646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Over49c1,747$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.9312646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over48c1,612$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.548844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c1,222$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.992,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cf…424bbacked Under58c1,177$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.5440%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over45c1,039$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.7661638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x461d…7ff7backed Under69c1,028$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under50c1,010$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.9666352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d8…0175backed Under2c970$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8160%0 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Under51c915.65$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.985850%29 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under43c862.48$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.611,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad7f…d0d4backed Under61c857.21$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.953154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under15c809.66$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6478639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Under48c763.41$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.4458951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Over47c749.99$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.9911757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa601…c58fbacked Over59c712.89$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.132352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under43c686.66$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.411,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under46c603.66$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.1727553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c3…1ab9backed Over60c552.58$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2221643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under50c540.88$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.441,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Under80c519.06$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.9512540.8%51 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under9c497.94$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4640440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under36c494.16$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.952230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under15c478.67$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5480440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over47c475.88$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.212,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over53c392.12$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.698952.8%47 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Under4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%0 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over50c361.32$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.0689850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x927a…f706backed Over54c357.08$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.2924139%94 W · 147 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Over42c353.26$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.8937848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under64c319.94$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.437150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Under45c237$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3631151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19f7…cd9abacked Under55c236.61$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9097…9201backed Under61c229.87$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under43c205.48$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3689048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10018850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56df…edc2backed Under62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1242540%10 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e5a…1041backed Under59c199.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over53c183.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2659255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under18c176.95$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2531238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under38c163.36$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6252053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4584…5473backed Under59c162.79$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over47c147.34$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0952861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d46…3248backed Over22c147.04$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.694746.8%22 W · 25 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+81.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over45c142.69$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6760049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under44c138.71$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8849247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Under63c131.98$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3644751.5%230 W · 217 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over51c114.19$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9525360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0570…5200backed Over51c112.38$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.638457.1%48 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under48c111.25$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5338751.2%198 W · 189 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed Under44c108.75$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.81442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under52c105.23$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.721,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a94…a328backed Over24c104.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.44650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aae…16e6backed Under50c98.94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4712458.9%73 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Under25c95.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.283647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under36c95.39$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0336154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over53c89.19$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6425958.3%151 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under54c88.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2631345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under45c88.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8127463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Over54c88.19$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7613441%55 W · 79 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over47c86.7$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9546959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under43c85.34$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.540750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e1…65a4backed Under60c75.02$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.014755.3%26 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under60c74.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8521849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed Under76c70.56$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.518149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb128…9916backed Over48c65.67$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.151275%9 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3092…789abacked Under51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.55666.1%37 W · 19 L+7.3wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+23.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Under60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3048957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2532957.4%189 W · 140 L+18.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under44c47.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0227245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Over38c46.82$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0345542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9761…9070backed Under64c45.76$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.35757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick72cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ea2…8bf1backed Under32c43.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca6…08ffbacked Under50c38.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.45846.6%27 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa8…a410backed Under52c37.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.421526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xedaf…5e45backed Over50c37.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.71666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Under50c36.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.437665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Over50c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1511057.3%63 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over44c34.82$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4811232.1%36 W · 76 L-17.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5081…e5acbacked Over53c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9820055.5%111 W · 89 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb153…4fc1backed Over48c32.76$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdac9…ef82backed Under50c29.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.551216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-66.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.