TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$568,762
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$575,497

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $568,762 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Over52c283,175$145,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137,216.4520545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Under48c158,500$76,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,610.5837627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c43,693$21,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,196.754,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa945…110fbacked Under0c41,481$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2360%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over56c35,370$19,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,688.7117553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under48c30,520$14,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,649.8324942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under48c29,924$14,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,363.6629650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over52c28,651$14,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,752.51,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under48c23,601$11,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,416.316547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under50c23,125$11,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,470.8669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Under50c19,285$9,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,701.849945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over52c18,747$9,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,998.772,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under50c10,886$5,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,435.5721943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa27c…7404backed Over47c10,376$4,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,512.99100%9 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+46.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x207a…5b9cbacked Under51c9,999$5,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.37633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over49c9,892$4,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,044.844456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Over45c9,709$4,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,338.176647%31 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over50c9,419$4,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,749.0566250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Under48c9,395$4,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,509.85345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under55c8,765$4,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,813.381,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under52c6,849$3,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,570.3856646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under49c6,674$3,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,296.814251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Under49c6,240$3,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,053.494949%24 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under53c5,000$2,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,630.341,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under37c4,873$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,811.452,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaae4…9789backed Under49c4,758$2,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,330.78450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72f3…92d6backed Over56c3,623$2,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,576.483855.3%21 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under36c3,050$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.241,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under48c2,895$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.6216743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over49c2,821$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.792653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Over62c2,774$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.716240.3%25 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over52c2,541$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.116,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d53…eb1abacked Over51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2254362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Over53c2,213$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.135850%29 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Over53c2,007$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.645945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Over60c2,000$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.6715219.1%29 W · 123 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over44c2,000$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.9918844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d4…5f81backed Over48c1,985$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.54626.1%12 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c1,510$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.161,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over52c1,496$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.362051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under51c1,313$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.8645146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under55c1,306$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.672,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under48c1,286$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.0937355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab2…b321backed Under50c1,248$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over59c1,246$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.9636243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Under52c1,233$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.8214355.9%80 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d46…3248backed Over31c1,196$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.134746.8%22 W · 25 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+81.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under53c1,166$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.0295651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Over46c1,145$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.9925550.2%128 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under49c1,077$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.1845251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed Over48c1,066$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.152245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Over47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.951118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-67.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under46c1,034$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.528537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Under52c1,005$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.514544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdc…9da2backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48013357.1%76 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75a3…8275backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5b0…f655backed Under54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over47c999.93$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.9631354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Under52c999.85$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.928951.7%46 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Over44c999.67$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.8211153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3449…abdfbacked Over48c968.8$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.782437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Over52c933.85$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.2544052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under48c861.93$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.3832045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Under52c830.72$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.9718743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Over50c695.73$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.4811057.3%63 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under69c685.85$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.391,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under47c667.35$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.6666352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf30…8b95backed Over47c665.83$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.893636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over48c609.67$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.0931249.4%154 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Under64c597.66$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.1262652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b8…e1a1backed Under49c597.35$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.769663.5%61 W · 35 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed Over54c585.94$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.934173.2%30 W · 11 L+7.3wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+33.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under53c583.07$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.8932450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Over53c567.47$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.2720946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Under47c563.98$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.0720153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over43c545$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.757146.5%33 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Under63c524.94$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.7120856.7%118 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under29c518.43$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2718835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over53c513.4$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.33348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under71c495.43$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.4311242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under35c482.21$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.8852230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c478.82$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.095,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under47c475.54$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Over52c472.25$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.427450%137 W · 137 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e1…adf1backed Over52c466.18$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.767548%36 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Under56c436.89$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.3617246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Under52c416.67$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.677358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over47c407.39$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.916448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Over48c403.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.913256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over52c372.05$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.746258.1%36 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0afd…9fdebacked Over53c369.65$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.742860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Over53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.367441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under50c365.51$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.7665045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed Over52c359.34$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.492665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over46c358.52$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.684342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2d1…aa33backed Under48c356$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.826541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c3…1ab9backed Over53c344.5$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.331643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee96…0634backed Over52c330$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.46250%31 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+21.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over50c315.64$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.668250%41 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under49c302.47$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.361,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.