TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Rockets, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,426
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,193

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,426 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Rockets54c6,661$3,597 inWon+$3,064.2311333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers46c6,097$2,805 inLost-$2,804.53,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Rockets55c5,342$2,918 inWon+$2,423.2310553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Lakers45c3,395$1,528 inLost-$1,527.6959347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Rockets54c1,258$679 inWon+$578.874748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Lakers46c1,195$550 inLost-$549.6916743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Lakers47c1,000$470 inLost-$4702548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Rockets69c996.27$687 inWon+$308.8936243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Lakers45c767.18$346 inLost-$346.4669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Lakers33c549.99$184 inLost-$184.161,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Lakers30c219.15$66 inLost-$65.751,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f68…ef58backed Lakers54c216.09$117 inLost-$116.693253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Lakers51c214.55$110 inLost-$110.122,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6123…8b33backed Lakers47c211.1$99 inLost-$98.71540%6 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9c…2a84backed Rockets49c199.65$98 inWon+$101.821266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+45.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Lakers31c195$60 inLost-$60.4532045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Rockets52c173.64$91 inWon+$83.0889850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed Lakers46c157.72$73 inLost-$72.553357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Lakers31c155.29$48 inLost-$48.142,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Lakers47c144.74$68 inLost-$68.0368542.6%292 W · 393 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Lakers31c123.69$38 inLost-$38.3427138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf375…a60cbacked Rockets52c93.85$49 inWon+$45.32045%9 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9c1…be67backed Lakers46c60.96$28 inLost-$28.042653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Lakers48c60.31$29 inLost-$28.951,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Lakers46c54.35$25 inLost-$251,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Rockets52c51.52$27 inWon+$24.731,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed Lakers48c49.91$24 inLost-$23.969135.2%32 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeca6…08ffbacked Rockets47c42.62$20 inWon+$22.595846.6%27 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Rockets47c41.28$20 inWon+$21.681,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x5081…e5acbacked Rockets45c33$15 inWon+$18.1520055.5%111 W · 89 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b88…8b2dbacked Lakers46c22.84$11 inLost-$10.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Lakers55c19.46$11 inLost-$10.731748.9%155 W · 162 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.