TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b88…8b2d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Valorant, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 54 out of 100; worst Asian League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Galorys (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Counter-Strike: magic vs Tricked - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.29
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Abacked HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.82
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$11.1
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Keyd - Map 1 Winnerbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: FURIA fe vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA fe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Phantom (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$18.33
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs UNiTY esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$12.21
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$6.04
Counter-Strike: NNP vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group Bbacked NNP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$4.96
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs BOJONG - Map 1 Winnerbacked BOJONG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Phantom (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+83.9%+$9.19
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+105.7%+$12.61
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$9.48
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$2.92
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.51
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Hashiras - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$12.58
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs AaB Esport - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$15.84
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs AaB Esport (BO3) - United21 Group Bbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$24.13
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group Abacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+34%+$27.48
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Brute - Map 2 Winnerbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.11
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.51
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.43
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$34.11
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 100.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.01
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.89
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.53
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$9.82
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.77
Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 105.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.5
Valencia vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$11.77
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Monacobacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jiujiang: Adam Walton vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Atmane vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.18
Jiujiang: Alexis Galarneau vs Dane Sweenybacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$5.08
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.39
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$16.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pisa SC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Nepal vs United Arab Emiratesbacked United Arab Emirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brøndby IF vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.